LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

SRZN

Surrozen, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SRZN yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SRZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SRZN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SRZN PE Valuation

SRZN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

SRZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SRZN's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and SRZN's risk to reward.

SRZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $31.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and SRZN's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

SRZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-21.67Q1 2025: $-24.86Q2 2025: $-14.32Q3 2025: $-22.24
Q4 2024: $-21.67Q1 2025: $-24.86Q2 2025: $-14.32Q3 2025: $-22.24

SRZN and LLY do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over SRZN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SRZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $655,000Q1 2025: $983,000Q2 2025: $983,000Q3 2025: $983,000Q4 2025: $528,000Q1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $655,000Q1 2025: $983,000Q2 2025: $983,000Q3 2025: $983,000Q4 2025: $528,000Q1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$5M+409%
Q1 2026$5M+409%
Q4 2025$528K-19%
Q3 2025$983K-90%

SRZN's revenue is growing: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over SRZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SRZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$7MQ1 2024: โˆ’$9MQ2 2024: โˆ’$6MQ3 2024: โˆ’$7MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: โˆ’$9MQ2 2025: โˆ’$6MQ3 2025: โˆ’$9MQ4 2025: โˆ’$6MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: โˆ’$7MQ3 2026: โˆ’$5M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$7MQ1 2024: โˆ’$9MQ2 2024: โˆ’$6MQ3 2024: โˆ’$7MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: โˆ’$9MQ2 2025: โˆ’$6MQ3 2025: โˆ’$9MQ4 2025: โˆ’$6MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: โˆ’$7MQ3 2026: โˆ’$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.9M+$4.2M
Q2 2026-$7.4M-$1.3M
Q1 2026-$12.6M-$3.3M
Q4 2025-$5.9M-270%
Q3 2025-$9.1M-$2.3M
Q2 2025-$6.1M-$520K
Q1 2025-$9.3M-$553K
Q4 2024$3.5M+$10.8M

SRZN has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$31M over the past year, against โˆ’$21M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over SRZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SRZN Total Shares

Q2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ2 2026: 23M
Q2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ2 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+617%+19.9M shares
1 year+1054%+21.1M shares

SRZN has 23M diluted shares, up 1054% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SRZN Net Leverage

SRZN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

SRZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic66.5Neutral

SRZN's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SRZN PE vs Healthcare Sector

SRZN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

SRZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.711% above
20 week MA$24.828% above
50 week MA$24.927% above
100 week MA$18.175% above
200 week MA$14.0127% above

SRZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 127% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

SRZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$153.3$107.7-30%
2022$107.7$7.95-93%
2023$7.95$9.40+18%
2024$9.40$13.9+48%
2025$13.9$22.2+60%
2026 YTD$22.2$31.7+43%

SRZN has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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