LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY has the edge over SRPT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
SRPT
Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.
SRPT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SRPT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
SRPT's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SRPT PE Valuation
SRPT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
LLY has the edge over SRPT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
SRPT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Turning to a loss | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SRPT's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the edge over SRPT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SRPT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.58 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.90 | -$2.09 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.96 | +$1.67 |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.44 | -461% |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.95 | -288% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.81 | -205% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.63 | -712% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.34 | +$8.14 |
SRPT is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.37 per share over the past year, against $12.69 at its worst in early 2023.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over SRPT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY has the edge over SRPT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SRPT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $381.4M | -4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $401.3M | -34% |
| Q1 2026 | $730.8M | -1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $442.9M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $399.4M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $611.1M | +68% |
| Q1 2025 | $744.9M | +80% |
| Q4 2024 | $658.4M | +66% |
SRPT's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $381M last quarter, down 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4% | +24 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3% | -16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 49% | +89 points |
| Q4 2025 | -93% | -118 points |
| Q3 2025 | -26% | -31 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | -40% | -49 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +18 points |
SRPT's operating margin was −2.4% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.
SRPT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $57M | +$94.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $196.5M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | -$204.8M | +$422.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $127.6M | +136% |
| Q3 2025 | -$37.5M | +$70.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $229.5M | +$243.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$627.1M | -$352.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $54M | +$127.7M |
SRPT's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $176M over the past year.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has the edge over SRPT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
SRPT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +499K shares |
| 1 year | +5.7% | +5.7M shares |
| 3 years | +19% | +17M shares |
| 5 years | +36% | +28M shares |
SRPT has 106M diluted shares, up 5.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
SRPT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | 89.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | -12.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 8.6x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 10.8x | High |
SRPT's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 11 years a year ago.
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
SRPT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.2 | Neutral |
SRPT's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
SRPT PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | SRPT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 26x | — |
SRPT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY has the edge over SRPT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SRPT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.7 | 9.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $18.2 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $35.3 | 55% below |
| 200 week MA | $78.9 | 80% below |
SRPT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 80% below its 200-week average.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has the edge over SRPT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SRPT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $129.8 | $175.0 | +35% |
| 2021 | $175.0 | $91.6 | -48% |
| 2022 | $91.6 | $130.0 | +42% |
| 2023 | $130.0 | $96.4 | -26% |
| 2024 | $96.4 | $121.5 | +26% |
| 2025 | $121.5 | $22.1 | -82% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.1 | $16.0 | -28% |
SRPT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 28% so far in 2026.