LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

SPRY

ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SPRY yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SPRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SPRY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SPRY PE Valuation

SPRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

SPRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SPRY's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and SPRY's risk to reward.

SPRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $3.81 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and SPRY's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over SPRY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SPRY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.57Q1 2024: $-0.52Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $-0.16Q2 2025: $-0.49Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-1.74Q1 2026: $-2.00Q2 2026: $-2.17Q3 2026: $-2.01
Q4 2023: $-0.57Q1 2024: $-0.52Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $-0.16Q2 2025: $-0.49Q3 2025: $-0.81Q4 2025: $-1.74Q1 2026: $-2.00Q2 2026: $-2.17Q3 2026: $-2.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.01-$1.20
Q2 2026-$2.17-$1.68
Q1 2026-$2.00-$1.84
Q4 2025-$1.74-2275%
Q3 2025-$0.81-$0.30
Q2 2025-$0.49-$0.02
Q1 2025-$0.16+$0.36
Q4 2024$0.08+$0.65

SPRY is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $2.01 per share over the past year, against $2.72 at its worst in early 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over SPRY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPRY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $500,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $87MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $500,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $87MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$37.7M+16%
Q2 2026$33.7M+114%
Q1 2026$22.7M+184%
Q4 2025$28.1M-68%
Q3 2025$32.5M+1472%
Q2 2025$15.7M+3043%
Q2 2024$500K+4900%

SPRY's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $38M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over SPRY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SPRY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17MQ1 2024: โˆ’$7MQ2 2024: โˆ’$7MQ3 2024: โˆ’$15MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: โˆ’$41MQ2 2025: โˆ’$40MQ3 2025: โˆ’$47MQ4 2025: โˆ’$43MQ1 2026: โˆ’$45MQ2 2026: โˆ’$61MQ3 2026: โˆ’$34M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17MQ1 2024: โˆ’$7MQ2 2024: โˆ’$7MQ3 2024: โˆ’$15MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: โˆ’$41MQ2 2025: โˆ’$40MQ3 2025: โˆ’$47MQ4 2025: โˆ’$43MQ1 2026: โˆ’$45MQ2 2026: โˆ’$61MQ3 2026: โˆ’$34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$33.7M+$13.5M
Q2 2026-$60.9M-$21.3M
Q1 2026-$44.9M-$4.1M
Q4 2025-$43.5M-204%
Q3 2025-$47.2M-$32.6M
Q2 2025-$39.6M-$32.3M
Q1 2025-$40.8M-$34M
Q4 2024$41.7M+$59M

SPRY has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$183M over the past year, against โˆ’$86M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over SPRY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPRY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 99MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 99MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+373K shares
1 year+0.9%+878K shares
3 years+4.3%+4.1M shares
5 years+186%+64.8M shares
Available history+201%+66.6M shares

SPRY has 100M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SPRY Net Leverage

SPRY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

SPRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.1Neutral
Stochastic14.3Oversold

SPRY's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SPRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSPRYSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

SPRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over SPRY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SPRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.800.3% above
20 week MA$5.1326% below
50 week MA$7.6450% below
100 week MA$10.263% below
200 week MA$9.3159% below

SPRY has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 59% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over SPRY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SPRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.0$35.8+43%
2021$35.8$6.65-81%
2022$6.65$8.08+22%
2023$8.08$5.48-32%
2024$5.48$10.8+97%
2025$10.8$11.4+5.5%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.81-67%

SPRY is down 67% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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