LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

SPRO

Spero Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SPRO yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SPRO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Weak
Strong

SPRO's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SPRO PE Valuation

SPRO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

SPRO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
--
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SPRO's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and SPRO's risk to reward.

SPRO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and SPRO's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over SPRO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SPRO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.43Q1 2024: $0.44Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $-1.27Q1 2025: $-1.28Q2 2025: $-0.98Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.27Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $-0.49
Q4 2023: $0.43Q1 2024: $0.44Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $-1.27Q1 2025: $-1.28Q2 2025: $-0.98Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.27Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $-0.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.49+$0.30
Q2 2026$0.14+$1.12
Q1 2026$0.27+$1.55
Q4 2025$0.15+$1.42
Q3 2025-$0.79-1088%
Q2 2025-$0.98-388%
Q1 2025-$1.28-391%
Q4 2024-$1.27-395%

SPRO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.49 per share over the past year, against $4.33 at its worst in mid-2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over SPRO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPRO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $258,000Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $258,000Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2026$258K-96%
Q4 2025$41.3M+175%
Q3 2025$5.4M-60%
Q2 2025$14.2M+39%
Q1 2025$5.9M-37%
Q4 2024$15M-80%
Q3 2024$13.5M-47%
Q2 2024$10.2M+275%

SPRO's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over SPRO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SPRO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: โˆ’$19MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$23MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$18MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: โˆ’$8MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: โˆ’$5MQ3 2026: โˆ’$43M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: โˆ’$19MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$23MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$18MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: โˆ’$8MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: โˆ’$5MQ3 2026: โˆ’$43M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$42.6M-345%
Q2 2026-$5.4M+$12.3M
Q1 2026$15.9M+$19.9M
Q4 2025-$8.4M+$15.1M
Q3 2025$17.4M+37%
Q2 2025-$17.7M+$1.1M
Q1 2025-$4M-167%
Q4 2024-$23.4M-$5.9M

SPRO has burned cash in most quarters: โˆ’$40M over the past year, against โˆ’$28M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over SPRO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPRO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 58M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 58M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+261K shares
1 year+3.5%+1.9M shares
3 years+10%+5.5M shares
5 years+96%+28.6M shares
Available history+206%+39.2M shares

SPRO has 58M diluted shares, up 3.5% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SPRO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.5xQ1 2024: -3.7xQ2 2024: -4.1x
Q4 2023: -3.5xQ1 2024: -3.7xQ2 2024: -4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2024-4.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.5xNet Cash

SPRO has more cash than debt.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

SPRO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.4Oversold
Stochastic9.2Oversold

SPRO's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SPRO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSPROSector medianRelative
PE7.4x26x72% below
PE %552926 pts above

SPRO has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over SPRO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SPRO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.119.9% below
20 week MA$1.2822% below
50 week MA$2.0050% below
100 week MA$1.8145% below
200 week MA$1.6339% below

SPRO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over SPRO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SPRO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$22.0+111%
2021$22.0$14.0-36%
2022$14.0$1.59-89%
2023$1.59$1.47-7.5%
2024$1.47$1.03-30%
2025$1.03$2.32+125%
2026 YTD$2.32$1.00-57%

SPRO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +125% in 2025 to โˆ’89% in 2022. It's down 57% so far in 2026.

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