LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over SOLV overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

SOLV

Solventum Corporation

39
Fundamentals28/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential3/ 100
Risk potential89/ 100

SOLV's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SOLV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

SOLV's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over SOLV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SOLV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x78x104x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x78x104x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$8.21-91%
Fair11x$10.05-89%
Forward12x$88.81—
Expensive33x$29.75-67%
Current99x$88.81—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOLV's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

SOLV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SOLV, with profitability improving.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SOLV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SOLV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$91.11
Downside-89%$9.43

Calculated from the latest close: $88.81 on Nov 12.

SOLV trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over SOLV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOLV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.79Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $6.12Q3 2024: $4.15Q4 2024: $2.76Q1 2025: $2.17Q2 2025: $2.17Q3 2025: $8.69Q4 2025: $8.88Q1 2026: $8.17Q2 2026: $8.19Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $7.42
Q4 2023: $7.79Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $6.12Q3 2024: $4.15Q4 2024: $2.76Q1 2025: $2.17Q2 2025: $2.17Q3 2025: $8.69Q4 2025: $8.88Q1 2026: $8.17Q2 2026: $8.19Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $7.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.42+725%
Q3 2026$0.90-90%
Q2 2026$8.19+277%
Q1 2026$8.17+276%
Q4 2025$8.88+222%
Q3 2025$8.69+109%
Q2 2025$2.17-65%
Q1 2025$2.17-71%
Q4 2024$2.76-65%

SOLV earned $0.90 per share over the past year, down 90% from the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over SOLV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOLV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B-7%
Q2 2026$2.2B+2.2%
Q1 2026$2B-3%
Q4 2025$2B-3.7%
Q3 2025$2.1B+0.7%
Q2 2025$2.2B+3.8%
Q1 2025$2.1B+2.7%
Q4 2024$2.1B+1.9%

SOLV's revenue has held roughly level: $1.9B last quarter, down 7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over SOLV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOLV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $459MQ1 2024: $340MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: −$80MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: −$273MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: $97M
Q4 2023: $459MQ1 2024: $340MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: −$80MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: −$273MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: $97M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$97M+$118M
Q2 2026$144M+144%
Q1 2026-$273M-$193M
Q4 2025$32M-65%
Q3 2025-$21M-128%
Q2 2025$59M-80%
Q1 2025-$80M-124%
Q4 2024$92M-80%

SOLV's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $50M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

SOLV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 174MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 174MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 175MQ3 2025: 175MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 176MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 171M
Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 174MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 174MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 175MQ3 2025: 175MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 176MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 171M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-2.5M shares
1 year-2.6%-4.6M shares
3 years-1.1%-1.9M shares

SOLV has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over SOLV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SOLV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.6xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 4.7x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.6xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.7xHigh
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20255.6xHigh
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

SOLV's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

SOLV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.0Neutral
Stochastic49.5Neutral

SOLV's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over SOLV on valuation relative to its sector.

SOLV PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSOLVSector medianRelative
PE99x26x282% above
PE %994752 pts above

SOLV is trading at 99x earnings, a 282% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

SOLV has stronger trend alignment. LLY is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus SOLV above 4 of 4.

SOLV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$87.12% above
20 week MA$85.83.5% above
50 week MA$79.212% above
100 week MA$76.017% above

SOLV is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 100-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over SOLV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOLV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$69.6$66.7-4%
2025$66.7$80.5+21%
2026 YTD$80.5$88.8+10%

SOLV has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's up 10% so far in 2026.

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