LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over SNY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SNY

Sanofi

55
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SNY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SNY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

SNY's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over SNY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SNY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$5.73-88%
Fair19x$10.07-79%
Expensive31x$16.50-66%
Current89x$48.46—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNY's PE is 89x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

SNY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SNY to show an outlook.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$56.48
Downside-14%$41.73

Calculated from the latest close: $48.46 on Nov 12.

SNY trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over SNY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNY Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.01Q4 2023: $2.39Q1 2024: $2.01Q2 2024: $1.88Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.66Q1 2025: $2.99Q2 2025: $4.27Q3 2025: $4.28Q4 2025: $2.27Q1 2026: $2.17Q2 2026: $0.54
Q3 2023: $4.01Q4 2023: $2.39Q1 2024: $2.01Q2 2024: $1.88Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.66Q1 2025: $2.99Q2 2025: $4.27Q3 2025: $4.28Q4 2025: $2.27Q1 2026: $2.17Q2 2026: $0.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.54-87%
Q1 2026$2.17-27%
Q4 2025$2.27-15%
Q3 2025$4.28+112%
Q2 2025$4.27+127%
Q1 2025$2.99+49%
Q4 2024$2.66+11%
Q3 2024$2.02-50%

SNY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.54 over the past year, against $5.47 in late 2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over SNY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $14.1BQ4 2023: $13.6BQ1 2024: $10.8BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $15.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $11.8BQ2 2025: $11.9BQ3 2025: $14.6BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $12.5BQ2 2026: $13.7B
Q3 2023: $14.1BQ4 2023: $13.6BQ1 2024: $10.8BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $15.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $11.8BQ2 2025: $11.9BQ3 2025: $14.6BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $12.5BQ2 2026: $13.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$13.7B+15%
Q1 2026$12.5B+6%
Q4 2025$13.6B+60%
Q3 2025$14.6B-7%
Q2 2025$11.9B-5.7%
Q1 2025$11.8B+9%
Q4 2024$8.5B-37%
Q3 2024$15.7B+11%

SNY's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $13.7B last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over SNY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$459MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $4.3B
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$459MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$4.3B+$4.3B
Q1 2026$1.9B-20%
Q4 2025$1.8B+$1.8B
Q3 2025$5.1B+$5.1B
Q2 2025$0+$458.7M
Q1 2025$2.3B+$2.3B
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0$0

SNY generated $13.1B in free cash flow over the past year, about six times what it generated the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

SNY Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.5BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.5BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.5BQ2 2025: 2.5BQ3 2025: 2.5BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.5BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.5BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.5BQ2 2025: 2.5BQ3 2025: 2.5BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-15.2M shares
1 year-3%-74.6M shares
3 years-4.3%-108M shares
5 years-4.4%-111M shares
Available history-4.4%-111M shares

SNY has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SNY Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.0xVery low
Q2 20242.1xModerate

SNY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

SNY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.1Neutral
Stochastic86.8Overbought

SNY's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over SNY on valuation relative to its sector.

SNY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSNYSector medianRelative
PE89x26x244% above
PE %1002971 pts above

SNY is trading at 89x earnings, a 244% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over SNY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SNY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.913% above
20 week MA$43.412% above
50 week MA$45.17.5% above
100 week MA$47.91.1% above
200 week MA$49.41.9% below

SNY has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 1.9% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over SNY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SNY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.9$47.5-6.7%
2021$47.5$49.8+5%
2022$49.8$48.5-2.6%
2023$48.5$49.7+2.5%
2024$49.7$48.7-2%
2025$48.7$48.5-0.5%
2026 YTD$48.5$48.50%

SNY has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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