LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over SNDA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SNDA

Sonida Senior Living, Inc.

54
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SNDA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SNDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Weak

SNDA's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SNDA PE Valuation

SNDA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

SNDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SNDA's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNDA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SNDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$39.95
Downside-16%$27.71

Calculated from the latest close: $33.16 on Nov 12.

SNDA trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over SNDA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SNDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.85Q1 2024: $-4.45Q2 2024: $-3.20Q3 2024: $-1.39Q4 2024: $-0.54Q1 2025: $-3.47Q2 2025: $-2.77Q3 2025: $-3.35Q4 2025: $-4.22Q1 2026: $-5.84Q2 2026: $-6.20Q3 2026: $-5.36
Q4 2023: $-3.85Q1 2024: $-4.45Q2 2024: $-3.20Q3 2024: $-1.39Q4 2024: $-0.54Q1 2025: $-3.47Q2 2025: $-2.77Q3 2025: $-3.35Q4 2025: $-4.22Q1 2026: $-5.84Q2 2026: $-6.20Q3 2026: $-5.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$5.36-$2.01
Q2 2026-$6.20-$3.43
Q1 2026-$5.84-$2.37
Q4 2025-$4.22-$3.68
Q3 2025-$3.35-$1.96
Q2 2025-$2.77+$0.43
Q1 2025-$3.47+$0.98
Q4 2024-$0.54+$3.31

SNDA is still losing money, but far less than before: $5.36 per share over the past year, against $134.88 at its worst in late 2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over SNDA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SNDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $92MQ2 2025: $94MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $98MQ1 2026: $123MQ2 2026: $208MQ3 2026: $210M
Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $92MQ2 2025: $94MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $98MQ1 2026: $123MQ2 2026: $208MQ3 2026: $210M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$210.2M+114%
Q2 2026$207.6M+122%
Q1 2026$122.6M+33%
Q4 2025$97.7M+6.2%
Q3 2025$98M+31%
Q2 2025$93.5M+33%
Q1 2025$91.9M+36%
Q4 2024$91.9M+40%

SNDA's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $210M last quarter, up 114% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over SNDA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SNDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $14M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.6M+360%
Q2 2026-$3.7M-292%
Q1 2026-$42.6M-$38.1M
Q4 2025-$9.3M+$1.1M
Q3 2025$3M+$8M
Q2 2025$1.9M+$3.6M
Q1 2025-$4.5M+$5.4M
Q4 2024-$10.4M-$6.6M

SNDA has burned cash in most quarters: −$42M over the past year, against −$10M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over SNDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 48M
Q1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.8%+821K shares
1 year+163%+29.5M shares
3 years+649%+41.3M shares
5 years+2077%+45.4M shares

SNDA has 48M diluted shares, up 163% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over SNDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SNDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 33.4xQ1 2024: 27.3xQ2 2024: 25.3xQ3 2024: 20.8xQ4 2024: 21.7xQ1 2025: 11.5xQ2 2025: 11.5xQ3 2025: 13.0xQ4 2025: 18.1xQ2 2026: 72.2xQ3 2026: 32.9x
Q4 2023: 33.4xQ1 2024: 27.3xQ2 2024: 25.3xQ3 2024: 20.8xQ4 2024: 21.7xQ1 2025: 11.5xQ2 2025: 11.5xQ3 2025: 13.0xQ4 2025: 18.1xQ2 2026: 72.2xQ3 2026: 32.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202632.9xHigh
Q2 202672.2xHigh
Q4 202518.1xHigh
Q3 202513.0xHigh
Q2 202511.5xHigh
Q1 202511.5xHigh
Q4 202421.7xHigh
Q3 202420.8xHigh

SNDA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 11 years a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

SNDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic9.7Oversold

SNDA's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SNDA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSNDASector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

SNDA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over SNDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SNDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.05.3% below
20 week MA$37.912% below
50 week MA$35.77% below
100 week MA$30.49.1% above
200 week MA$23.740% above

SNDA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 40% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over SNDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SNDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.6$12.9-73%
2021$12.9$28.6+122%
2022$28.6$11.7-59%
2023$11.7$9.66-17%
2024$9.66$22.9+137%
2025$22.9$32.3+41%
2026 YTD$32.3$33.2+2.8%

SNDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +137% in 2024 to −73% in 2020. It's up 2.8% so far in 2026.

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