LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over SHC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SHC

Sotera Health Company

75
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SHC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Weak

SHC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE350x700x1050x1399x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE350x700x1050x1399x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$16.30—
Current27x$16.30—
Cheap38x$23.00+41%
Fair61x$36.40+123%
Expensive173x$104+538%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHC has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

SHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SHC, with profitability improving.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SHC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$22.37
Downside-16%$13.63

Calculated from the latest close: $16.30 on Nov 12.

SHC trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over SHC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.60Forward: $1.04
Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.60Forward: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.04+73%
Q3 2026$0.60+200%
Q2 2026$0.57+533%
Q1 2026$0.41+356%
Q4 2025$0.27+69%
Q3 2025$0.20-20%
Q2 2025$0.09-36%
Q1 2025$0.09-53%
Q4 2024$0.16-11%

SHC earned $0.60 per share over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over SHC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $248MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $290MQ1 2025: $255MQ2 2025: $294MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $303MQ1 2026: $280MQ2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: $325M
Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $248MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $290MQ1 2025: $255MQ2 2025: $294MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $303MQ1 2026: $280MQ2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: $325M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$324.9M+4.4%
Q2 2026$321.4M+9.2%
Q1 2026$280M+10%
Q4 2025$303.4M+4.6%
Q3 2025$311.3M+9.1%
Q2 2025$294.3M+6.4%
Q1 2025$254.5M+2.6%
Q4 2024$290.2M-6.5%

SHC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $325M last quarter, up 4.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over SHC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$57.7M+65%
Q2 2026$42M+61%
Q1 2026-$16.7M-147%
Q4 2025$52.4M+$62.6M
Q3 2025$35M-43%
Q2 2025$26.2M+35%
Q1 2025$35.6M+$60.8M
Q4 2024-$10.2M-121%

SHC generated $135M in free cash flow over the past year, up 56% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over SHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 283MQ1 2024: 284MQ2 2024: 285MQ3 2024: 286MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 284MQ2 2025: 286MQ3 2025: 287MQ4 2025: 286MQ1 2026: 288MQ2 2026: 288MQ3 2026: 289M
Q4 2023: 283MQ1 2024: 284MQ2 2024: 285MQ3 2024: 286MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 284MQ2 2025: 286MQ3 2025: 287MQ4 2025: 286MQ1 2026: 288MQ2 2026: 288MQ3 2026: 289M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+2.5M shares
3 years+2.9%+8.1M shares
5 years+3.5%+9.7M shares
Available history+3.7%+10.4M shares

SHC has 289M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over SHC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.5xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.3xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q4 2023: 4.5xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.3xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20265.5xHigh
Q4 20256.3xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

SHC's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

SHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic20.9Neutral

SHC's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SHC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSHCSector medianRelative
PE27x26x5.1% above
PE %83426 pts below

SHC has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over SHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.67.5% below
20 week MA$18.210% below
50 week MA$17.14.4% below
100 week MA$15.36.7% above
200 week MA$15.17.9% above

SHC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 7.9% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over SHC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.1$26.9+7.3%
2021$26.9$23.6-13%
2022$23.6$7.93-66%
2023$7.93$16.9+112%
2024$16.9$13.5-20%
2025$13.5$17.7+31%
2026 YTD$17.7$16.3-7.9%

SHC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +112% in 2023 to −66% in 2022. It's down 7.9% so far in 2026.

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