LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over SGHT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

SGHT

Sight Sciences, Inc.

59
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

SGHT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SGHT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

SGHT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SGHT PE Valuation

SGHT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

SGHT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SGHT's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SGHT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SGHT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$18.03
Downside-38%$6.76

Calculated from the latest close: $10.99 on Nov 12.

SGHT trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over SGHT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SGHT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.14Q1 2024: $-1.12Q2 2024: $-1.07Q3 2024: $-1.02Q4 2024: $-1.03Q1 2025: $-0.98Q2 2025: $-0.96Q3 2025: $-0.90Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-0.70Q2 2026: $-0.55Q3 2026: $-0.51
Q4 2023: $-1.14Q1 2024: $-1.12Q2 2024: $-1.07Q3 2024: $-1.02Q4 2024: $-1.03Q1 2025: $-0.98Q2 2025: $-0.96Q3 2025: $-0.90Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-0.70Q2 2026: $-0.55Q3 2026: $-0.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.51+$0.39
Q2 2026-$0.55+$0.41
Q1 2026-$0.70+$0.28
Q4 2025-$0.74+$0.29
Q3 2025-$0.90+$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.96+$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.98+$0.14
Q4 2024-$1.03+$0.11

SGHT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.51 per share over the past year, against $2.81 at its worst in late 2021.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over SGHT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SGHT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.9M+25%
Q2 2026$23.4M+20%
Q1 2026$19.7M+13%
Q4 2025$20.4M+6.9%
Q3 2025$19.9M-1.2%
Q2 2025$19.6M-8.5%
Q1 2025$17.5M-9.1%
Q4 2024$19.1M+1.7%

SGHT's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $25M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over SGHT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SGHT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: $311,000Q4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: $311,000Q4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.5M+$6.4M
Q2 2026-$5.7M+$2.1M
Q1 2026-$7.1M+$4.5M
Q4 2025-$1.7M+$1.9M
Q3 2025-$8.9M-2958%
Q2 2025-$7.8M+$1.8M
Q1 2025-$11.6M-$1.7M
Q4 2024-$3.6M+$3.2M

SGHT has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$17M over the past year, against −$32M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over SGHT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SGHT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+621K shares
1 year+5.2%+2.7M shares
3 years+13%+6.5M shares
5 years+474%+45.5M shares
Available history+57%+20.1M shares

SGHT has 55M diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SGHT Net Leverage

SGHT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

SGHT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI75.4Overbought
Stochastic91.0Overbought

SGHT's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

SGHT PE vs Healthcare Sector

SGHT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

SGHT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.2519% above
20 week MA$7.8540% above
50 week MA$6.4271% above
100 week MA$5.07117% above
200 week MA$5.7392% above

SGHT has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 92% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over SGHT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SGHT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$32.7$18.5-43%
2022$18.5$12.1-35%
2023$12.1$5.16-57%
2024$5.16$3.57-31%
2025$3.57$8.82+147%
2026 YTD$8.82$11.0+25%

SGHT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +147% in 2025 to −57% in 2023. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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