LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over RXST overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RXST

RxSight, Inc.

46
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

RXST's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RXST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Strong
Strong

RXST's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RXST PE Valuation

RXST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

RXST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RXST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RXST, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RXST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$8.33
Downside-36%$3.47

Calculated from the latest close: $5.38 on Nov 12.

RXST trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over RXST on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RXST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.41Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.71Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.87Q4 2025: $-0.95Q1 2026: $-1.13Q2 2026: $-1.13Q3 2026: $-1.28
Q4 2023: $-1.41Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.71Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.87Q4 2025: $-0.95Q1 2026: $-1.13Q2 2026: $-1.13Q3 2026: $-1.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.28-$0.41
Q2 2026-$1.13-$0.34
Q1 2026-$1.13-$0.47
Q4 2025-$0.95-$0.24
Q3 2025-$0.87-$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.79+$0.21
Q1 2025-$0.66+$0.58
Q4 2024-$0.71+$0.70

RXST is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.28 per share over the past year, against $3.19 at its worst in late 2021.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over RXST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RXST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.6M-19%
Q2 2026$33.7M+0.3%
Q1 2026$30.9M-18%
Q4 2025$32.6M-19%
Q3 2025$30.3M-14%
Q2 2025$33.6M-3.6%
Q1 2025$37.9M+28%
Q4 2024$40.2M+41%

RXST's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $25M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over RXST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RXST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$453,000Q4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$453,000Q4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44M+$45.8M
Q2 2026-$11.5M-$5.6M
Q1 2026-$11.7M-$2.2M
Q4 2025-$2.3M+$2.9M
Q3 2025-$1.8M-$1.3M
Q2 2025-$5.9M-$363K
Q1 2025-$9.4M+$1.9M
Q4 2024-$5.1M+$4.8M

RXST's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $19M over the past year.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over RXST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RXST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+215K shares
1 year+1.8%+740K shares
3 years+17%+6M shares
5 years+901%+37.5M shares
Available history+119%+22.6M shares

RXST has 42M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RXST Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20210.3xVery low
Q4 20200.5xVery low

RXST's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

RXST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.0Neutral
Stochastic22.2Neutral

RXST's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RXST PE vs Healthcare Sector

RXST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over RXST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RXST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.8112% above
20 week MA$5.492% below
50 week MA$6.8822% below
100 week MA$11.955% below
200 week MA$24.978% below

RXST has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 78% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over RXST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RXST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$16.0$10.6-34%
2022$10.6$11.9+12%
2023$11.9$40.3+239%
2024$40.3$34.2-15%
2025$34.2$10.9-68%
2026 YTD$10.9$5.38-51%

RXST's yearly returns have swung widely, from +239% in 2023 to −68% in 2025. It's down 51% so far in 2026.

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