LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

RVMD

Revolution Medicines, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score RVMD yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RVMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

RVMD's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RVMD PE Valuation

RVMD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

RVMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect RVMD's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and RVMD's risk to reward.

RVMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $176.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and RVMD's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over RVMD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RVMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.86Q1 2024: $-3.84Q2 2024: $-3.73Q3 2024: $-3.68Q4 2024: $-3.47Q1 2025: $-3.90Q2 2025: $-4.40Q3 2025: $-5.07Q4 2025: $-5.95Q1 2026: $-7.11Q2 2026: $-8.86Q3 2026: $-9.15
Q4 2023: $-3.86Q1 2024: $-3.84Q2 2024: $-3.73Q3 2024: $-3.68Q4 2024: $-3.47Q1 2025: $-3.90Q2 2025: $-4.40Q3 2025: $-5.07Q4 2025: $-5.95Q1 2026: $-7.11Q2 2026: $-8.86Q3 2026: $-9.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$9.15-$4.08
Q2 2026-$8.86-$4.46
Q1 2026-$7.11-$3.21
Q4 2025-$5.95-$2.48
Q3 2025-$5.07-$1.39
Q2 2025-$4.40-$0.67
Q1 2025-$3.90-$0.06
Q4 2024-$3.47+$0.39

RVMD lost $9.15 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

RVMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $742,000Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $198M
Q4 2023: $742,000Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $198M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2023$742K-95%
Q2 2023$3.8M-58%
Q1 2023$7M-7.4%
Q4 2022$15.3M+62%
Q3 2022$3.4M+205%
Q2 2022$9.1M+4.8%
Q1 2022$7.6M-25%
Q4 2021$9.5M+8.1%

RVMD's revenue is growing: $198M last quarter.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over RVMD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RVMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$123MQ1 2024: โˆ’$164MQ2 2024: โˆ’$131MQ3 2024: โˆ’$134MQ4 2024: โˆ’$140MQ1 2025: โˆ’$198MQ2 2025: โˆ’$229MQ3 2025: โˆ’$211MQ4 2025: โˆ’$276MQ1 2026: โˆ’$356MQ2 2026: โˆ’$390MQ3 2026: โˆ’$419M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$123MQ1 2024: โˆ’$164MQ2 2024: โˆ’$131MQ3 2024: โˆ’$134MQ4 2024: โˆ’$140MQ1 2025: โˆ’$198MQ2 2025: โˆ’$229MQ3 2025: โˆ’$211MQ4 2025: โˆ’$276MQ1 2026: โˆ’$356MQ2 2026: โˆ’$390MQ3 2026: โˆ’$419M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$419.3M-$208.7M
Q2 2026-$389.6M-$160.4M
Q1 2026-$355.7M-$158M
Q4 2025-$276.2M-$136.7M
Q3 2025-$210.7M-$76.7M
Q2 2025-$229.2M-$98.6M
Q1 2025-$197.7M-$34M
Q4 2024-$139.5M-$16.6M

RVMD has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$1.4B over the past year, against โˆ’$777M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over RVMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RVMD Total Shares

Q1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 165MQ3 2024: 167MQ4 2024: 168MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 189MQ3 2025: 189MQ4 2025: 190MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 215M
Q1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 165MQ3 2024: 167MQ4 2024: 168MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 189MQ3 2025: 189MQ4 2025: 190MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 215M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+4.1M shares
1 year+14%+25.7M shares
3 years+101%+108M shares
5 years+193%+142M shares
Available history+489%+178M shares

RVMD has 215M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RVMD Net Leverage

RVMD's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

RVMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic22.2Neutral

RVMD's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RVMD PE vs Healthcare Sector

RVMD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over RVMD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RVMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.87.6% below
20 week MA$194.89.5% below
50 week MA$147.819% above
100 week MA$95.685% above
200 week MA$64.3174% above

RVMD has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 174% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

RVMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.3$42.6+51%
2021$42.6$27.6-35%
2022$27.6$22.0-20%
2023$22.0$28.7+30%
2024$28.7$44.2+54%
2025$44.2$80.8+83%
2026 YTD$80.8$176.4+118%

RVMD has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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