LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY has the edge over RPRX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
RPRX
Royalty Pharma plc
RPRX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RPRX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
RPRX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY has the edge over RPRX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RPRX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $68.97 | — |
| Cheap | 15x | $22.76 | -67% |
| Fair | 23x | $34.85 | -49% |
| Expensive | 44x | $66.74 | -3.2% |
| Current | 45x | $68.97 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RPRX's PE is in its expensive range at 45x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
LLY has the edge over RPRX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
RPRX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect RPRX's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the edge over RPRX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RPRX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.95 | +292% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.52 | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.87 | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.90 | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.78 | -6.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.75 | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.29 | +52% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.45 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.91 | -25% |
RPRX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.52 over the past year, against $3.36 in late 2019.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over RPRX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY's operating margin was 34% last quarter, down 6.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RPRX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $690.1M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $674.1M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $630.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $622M | +4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $609.3M | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $578.7M | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $568.2M | 0% |
| Q4 2024 | $593.6M | -0.4% |
RPRX's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $690M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 60% | -11 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 89% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 62% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 70% | -60 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | -14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 94% | +107 points |
| Q4 2024 | 61% | -42 points |
RPRX has the edge over LLY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY has the edge over RPRX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RPRX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $686.1M | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $728.5M | +100% |
| Q1 2026 | $718.2M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $827.1M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $702.6M | -0.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $364M | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | $596.1M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $742.5M | -3.9% |
RPRX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $3B over the past year, up 23% from the year before.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has the edge over RPRX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
RPRX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +105K shares |
| 1 year | -0.5% | -2.6M shares |
| 3 years | -7.3% | -44.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.3% | -50.1M shares |
| Available history | +58% | +205M shares |
RPRX has 557M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $86.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $44.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $80.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $146.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $291.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $708.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $52.6M |
RPRX spent $262M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 78% from the year before.
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY has the edge over RPRX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RPRX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q1 2020 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2019 | 2.2x | Moderate |
RPRX's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
RPRX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.0 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 89.9 | Overbought |
RPRX's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
RPRX PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | RPRX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45x | 26x | 76% above |
| PE % | 84 | 31 | 53 pts above |
RPRX has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.
RPRX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $62.6 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $60.4 | 14% above |
| 50 week MA | $52.2 | 32% above |
| 100 week MA | $43.1 | 60% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.5 | 89% above |
RPRX is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 89% above its 200-week average.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.
RPRX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $49.0 | $48.9 | -0.2% |
| 2021 | $48.9 | $40.3 | -18% |
| 2022 | $40.3 | $39.4 | -2% |
| 2023 | $39.4 | $28.1 | -29% |
| 2024 | $28.1 | $25.5 | -9.1% |
| 2025 | $25.5 | $39.2 | +54% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.2 | $69.0 | +76% |
RPRX has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.