LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over RPID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RPID

Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.

51
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RPID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RPID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RPID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RPID PE Valuation

RPID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

RPID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RPID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RPID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RPID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$1.14
Downside-40%$0.40

Calculated from the latest close: $0.67 on Nov 12.

RPID trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over RPID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RPID Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.35Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-1.21Q2 2024: $-1.17Q3 2024: $-1.12Q4 2024: $-1.08Q1 2025: $-1.03Q2 2025: $-1.01Q3 2025: $-1.01Q4 2025: $-1.05Q1 2026: $-1.10Q2 2026: $-1.10
Q3 2023: $-1.35Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-1.21Q2 2024: $-1.17Q3 2024: $-1.12Q4 2024: $-1.08Q1 2025: $-1.03Q2 2025: $-1.01Q3 2025: $-1.01Q4 2025: $-1.05Q1 2026: $-1.10Q2 2026: $-1.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.10-$0.09
Q1 2026-$1.10-$0.07
Q4 2025-$1.05+$0.03
Q3 2025-$1.01+$0.11
Q2 2025-$1.01+$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.03+$0.18
Q4 2024-$1.08+$0.14
Q3 2024-$1.12+$0.23

RPID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.10 per share over the past year, against $1.62 at its worst in early 2021.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over RPID on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RPID Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $8M
Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $8M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$8.1M+11%
Q1 2026$8M+11%
Q4 2025$11.3M+37%
Q3 2025$7.8M+3.1%
Q2 2025$7.3M+9.7%
Q1 2025$7.2M+28%
Q4 2024$8.2M+30%
Q3 2024$7.6M+24%

RPID's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $8M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over RPID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RPID Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$10MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$12M
Q3 2023: −$10MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$12.5M-$2.4M
Q1 2026-$15.5M-$6.1M
Q4 2025-$3.3M+$6.7M
Q3 2025-$9.1M-$301K
Q2 2025-$10.1M+$512K
Q1 2025-$9.4M+$6.7M
Q4 2024-$10M-$92K
Q3 2024-$8.8M+$1.3M

RPID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$40M over the past year, against −$38M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over RPID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RPID Total Shares

Q3 2023: 43MQ4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 43MQ4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+6.4%+2.9M shares
1 year+8.3%+3.7M shares
3 years+12%+5.3M shares
5 years+52%+16.6M shares

RPID has 48M diluted shares, up 8.3% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RPID Net Leverage

RPID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

RPID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.6Oversold
Stochastic4.6Oversold

RPID's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RPID PE vs Healthcare Sector

RPID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over RPID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RPID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.8117% below
20 week MA$1.3450% below
50 week MA$2.2971% below
100 week MA$2.5774% below
200 week MA$1.7862% below

RPID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 62% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over RPID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RPID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.1$11.3-53%
2022$11.3$1.43-87%
2023$1.43$0.74-48%
2024$0.74$0.96+30%
2025$0.96$2.98+210%
2026 YTD$2.98$0.67-78%

RPID's yearly returns have swung widely, from +210% in 2025 to −87% in 2022. It's down 78% so far in 2026.

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