LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over RMD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

RMD

ResMed Inc.

72
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

RMD has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

RMD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x95x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x95x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$239—
Current22x$239—
Cheap26x$280+17%
Fair37x$410+71%
Expensive54x$595+149%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RMD has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over RMD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

RMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect RMD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RMD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$296.92
Downside-13%$207.26

Calculated from the latest close: $238.89 on Nov 12.

RMD trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over RMD on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $6.50Q2 2024: $6.92Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.46Q1 2025: $8.90Q2 2025: $9.51Q3 2025: $9.77Q4 2025: $10.11Q1 2026: $10.37Q2 2026: $10.43Q3 2026: $10.98Forward: $12.30
Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $6.50Q2 2024: $6.92Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.46Q1 2025: $8.90Q2 2025: $9.51Q3 2025: $9.77Q4 2025: $10.11Q1 2026: $10.37Q2 2026: $10.43Q3 2026: $10.98Forward: $12.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.30+12%
Q3 2026$10.98+12%
Q2 2026$10.43+9.7%
Q1 2026$10.37+17%
Q4 2025$10.11+20%
Q3 2025$9.77+30%
Q2 2025$9.51+37%
Q1 2025$8.90+37%
Q4 2024$8.46+40%

RMD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $10.98 over the past year, up 12% from the year before, and higher year over year for 19 quarters in a row.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over RMD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+5.9%
Q2 2026$1.5B+8.6%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.4B+11%
Q3 2025$1.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$1.3B+10%
Q1 2025$1.3B+7.9%
Q4 2024$1.3B+10%

RMD's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 5.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over RMD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $249MQ1 2024: $381MQ2 2024: $415MQ3 2024: $308MQ4 2024: $288MQ1 2025: $558MQ2 2025: $508MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $311MQ1 2026: $520MQ2 2026: $404MQ3 2026: $374M
Q4 2023: $249MQ1 2024: $381MQ2 2024: $415MQ3 2024: $308MQ4 2024: $288MQ1 2025: $558MQ2 2025: $508MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $311MQ1 2026: $520MQ2 2026: $404MQ3 2026: $374M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$373.7M-9.8%
Q2 2026$403.5M-21%
Q1 2026$520.5M-6.7%
Q4 2025$311.2M+8.1%
Q3 2025$414.4M+35%
Q2 2025$508.2M+22%
Q1 2025$557.9M+46%
Q4 2024$288M+15%

RMD generated $1.6B in free cash flow over the past year, down 9% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

RMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 148MQ1 2024: 147MQ2 2024: 148MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 147MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 147MQ3 2025: 147MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 146MQ3 2026: 143M
Q4 2023: 148MQ1 2024: 147MQ2 2024: 148MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 147MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 147MQ3 2025: 147MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 146MQ3 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-2.6M shares
1 year-2.4%-3.5M shares
3 years-2.8%-4.1M shares
5 years-2.3%-3.4M shares
Available history-1.5%-2.2M shares

RMD has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RMD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

RMD has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

RMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic60.7Neutral

RMD's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RMD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricRMDSector medianRelative
PE22x26x16% below
PE %62923 pts below

RMD has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

RMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$233.42.4% above
20 week MA$223.37% above
50 week MA$227.84.8% above
100 week MA$238.70.1% above
200 week MA$220.58.3% above

RMD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.3% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over RMD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$156.2$212.4+36%
2021$212.4$258.8+22%
2022$258.8$208.3-20%
2023$208.3$172.0-17%
2024$172.0$233.2+36%
2025$233.2$244.8+5%
2026 YTD$244.8$238.9-2.4%

RMD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 2.4% so far in 2026.

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