LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

RLAY

Relay Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score RLAY yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RLAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

RLAY's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RLAY PE Valuation

RLAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

RLAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RLAY's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and RLAY's risk to reward.

RLAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $18.08 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and RLAY's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over RLAY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RLAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.81Q1 2024: $-2.65Q2 2024: $-2.53Q3 2024: $-2.62Q4 2024: $-2.36Q1 2025: $-2.20Q2 2025: $-1.92Q3 2025: $-1.72Q4 2025: $-1.61Q1 2026: $-1.56Q2 2026: $-1.56Q3 2026: $-1.50
Q4 2023: $-2.81Q1 2024: $-2.65Q2 2024: $-2.53Q3 2024: $-2.62Q4 2024: $-2.36Q1 2025: $-2.20Q2 2025: $-1.92Q3 2025: $-1.72Q4 2025: $-1.61Q1 2026: $-1.56Q2 2026: $-1.56Q3 2026: $-1.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.50+$0.22
Q2 2026-$1.56+$0.36
Q1 2026-$1.56+$0.64
Q4 2025-$1.61+$0.75
Q3 2025-$1.72+$0.90
Q2 2025-$1.92+$0.61
Q1 2025-$2.20+$0.45
Q4 2024-$2.36+$0.45

RLAY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.50 per share over the past year, against $3.92 at its worst in early 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over RLAY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RLAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1,000Q1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $677,000Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $350,000Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1,000Q1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $677,000Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $350,000Q3 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$350K-48%
Q1 2026$3M-61%
Q1 2025$7.7M-23%
Q1 2024$10M+4328%
Q3 2023$25.2M+7226%
Q2 2023$119K-67%
Q1 2023$226K-46%
Q4 2022$253K-99%

RLAY's revenue is growing: $0 last quarter.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with RLAY at down 7.9%.

RLAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$89MQ1 2024: โˆ’$52MQ2 2024: โˆ’$66MQ3 2024: โˆ’$75MQ4 2024: โˆ’$58MQ1 2025: โˆ’$74MQ2 2025: โˆ’$55MQ3 2025: โˆ’$62MQ4 2025: โˆ’$45MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: โˆ’$64M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$89MQ1 2024: โˆ’$52MQ2 2024: โˆ’$66MQ3 2024: โˆ’$75MQ4 2024: โˆ’$58MQ1 2025: โˆ’$74MQ2 2025: โˆ’$55MQ3 2025: โˆ’$62MQ4 2025: โˆ’$45MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: โˆ’$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$63.9M-$1.8M
Q4 2025-$44.9M+$13M
Q3 2025-$62.1M+$13.2M
Q2 2025-$55.3M+$10.6M
Q1 2025-$73.6M-$21.5M
Q4 2024-$57.9M+$31.4M
Q3 2024-$75.3M+$677K
Q2 2024-$65.8M+$4.3M

RLAY has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$226M over the past year, against โˆ’$273M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over RLAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RLAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 133MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 171MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 172MQ1 2026: 180MQ2 2026: 203MQ3 2026: 219M
Q4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 133MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 171MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 172MQ1 2026: 180MQ2 2026: 203MQ3 2026: 219M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8%+16.3M shares
1 year+27%+46.8M shares
3 years+79%+96.9M shares
5 years+136%+126M shares

RLAY has 219M diluted shares, up 27% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RLAY Net Leverage

RLAY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

RLAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.9Neutral
Stochastic43.1Neutral

RLAY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RLAY PE vs Healthcare Sector

RLAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over RLAY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RLAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.00.6% above
20 week MA$18.73.4% below
50 week MA$14.227% above
100 week MA$9.1797% above
200 week MA$9.5090% above

RLAY's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 90% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

RLAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.0$46.9+6.6%
2021$46.9$33.4-29%
2022$33.4$14.6-56%
2023$14.6$11.0-25%
2024$11.0$4.36-60%
2025$4.36$8.56+96%
2026 YTD$8.56$18.1+111%

RLAY has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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