LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over RGNX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RGNX

REGENXBIO Inc.

35
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential50/ 100

RGNX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RGNX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

RGNX's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RGNX PE Valuation

RGNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

RGNX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RGNX's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RGNX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RGNX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+99%$15.96
Downside-50%$4.02

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RGNX trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over RGNX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RGNX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.02Q1 2024: $-5.87Q2 2024: $-5.26Q3 2024: $-5.02Q4 2024: $-4.59Q1 2025: $-3.09Q2 2025: $-3.42Q3 2025: $-3.45Q4 2025: $-3.76Q1 2026: $-5.60Q2 2026: $-3.79Q3 2026: $-3.21
Q4 2023: $-6.02Q1 2024: $-5.87Q2 2024: $-5.26Q3 2024: $-5.02Q4 2024: $-4.59Q1 2025: $-3.09Q2 2025: $-3.42Q3 2025: $-3.45Q4 2025: $-3.76Q1 2026: $-5.60Q2 2026: $-3.79Q3 2026: $-3.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.21+$0.24
Q2 2026-$3.79-$0.37
Q1 2026-$5.60-$2.51
Q4 2025-$3.76+$0.83
Q3 2025-$3.45+$1.57
Q2 2025-$3.42+$1.84
Q1 2025-$3.09+$2.78
Q4 2024-$4.59+$1.43

RGNX is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.21 per share over the past year, against $6.50 at its worst in late 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over RGNX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RGNX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.2M-69%
Q2 2026$108M+406%
Q1 2026$6.4M-93%
Q4 2025$30.3M+43%
Q3 2025$29.7M+23%
Q2 2025$21.4M-4.2%
Q1 2025$89M+470%
Q4 2024$21.2M-4.5%

RGNX's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $9M last quarter, down 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over RGNX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RGNX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$42MQ1 2024: −$56MQ2 2024: −$46MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: −$33MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: −$50MQ3 2025: −$56MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$63MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$42MQ1 2024: −$56MQ2 2024: −$46MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: −$33MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: −$50MQ3 2025: −$56MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$63MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$38.4M+$94.9M
Q2 2026-$63M-$13.3M
Q1 2026-$77.4M-337%
Q4 2025-$52.8M-$20.1M
Q3 2025-$56.5M-$15.6M
Q2 2025-$49.7M-$3.8M
Q1 2025$32.6M+$88.6M
Q4 2024-$32.7M+$9.2M

RGNX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$155M over the past year, against −$106M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over RGNX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RGNX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+12.2M shares
1 year+26%+13.6M shares
3 years+51%+22.1M shares
5 years+76%+28.2M shares

RGNX has 65M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RGNX Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2022-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2022-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2021-2.0xNet Cash

RGNX has more cash than debt.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

RGNX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.0Neutral
Stochastic20.6Neutral

RGNX's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RGNX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricRGNXSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

RGNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over RGNX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RGNX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.428.2% above
20 week MA$9.1612% below
50 week MA$9.5916% below
100 week MA$9.2213% below
200 week MA$12.938% below

RGNX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 38% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over RGNX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RGNX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.5$48.7+20%
2021$48.7$34.8-29%
2022$34.8$22.3-36%
2023$22.3$18.0-19%
2024$18.0$7.41-59%
2025$7.41$14.2+91%
2026 YTD$14.2$8.03-43%

RGNX has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 43% so far in 2026.

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