LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over RGEN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

RGEN

Repligen Corporation

63
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

RGEN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RGEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

RGEN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RGEN PE Valuation

RGEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over RGEN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

RGEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RGEN, but weaker profitability.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RGEN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RGEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$228.60
Downside-25%$124.42

Calculated from the latest close: $166.52 on Nov 12.

RGEN trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 51% for LLY versus RGEN up 38%.

RGEN Earnings Per Share

Forward: $2.43
Forward: $2.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.43-16%
Q3 2022$2.90+38%
Q2 2022$2.77+55%
Q1 2022$2.53+74%
Q4 2021$2.24+102%
Q3 2021$2.10+156%
Q2 2021$1.79+209%
Q1 2021$1.45+222%
Q4 2020$1.11+152%

RGEN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.90 over the past year, up 38% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over RGEN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RGEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $153MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $155MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $169MQ2 2025: $182MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $198MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $209M
Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $153MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $155MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $169MQ2 2025: $182MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $198MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $209M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$209.3M+11%
Q2 2026$204.1M+12%
Q1 2026$194.3M+15%
Q4 2025$197.9M+18%
Q3 2025$188.8M+22%
Q2 2025$182.4M+15%
Q1 2025$169.2M+10%
Q4 2024$167.5M+0.6%

RGEN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $209M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over RGEN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RGEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$38.2M-12%
Q2 2026$27.4M+28%
Q1 2026$23.6M+106%
Q4 2025$17.6M-48%
Q3 2025$43.4M+2.5%
Q2 2025$21.5M-42%
Q1 2025$11.4M-69%
Q4 2024$33.6M+87%

RGEN generated $107M in free cash flow over the past year, down 3% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

RGEN Total Shares

Q1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
Q1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-80K shares
1 year-1.4%-810K shares

RGEN has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RGEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.9xQ1 2024: -6.6xQ2 2024: -7.8xQ3 2024: -9.8xQ4 2024: -21.9xQ1 2025: -17.8xQ2 2025: -14.0xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: -5.9xQ1 2024: -6.6xQ2 2024: -7.8xQ3 2024: -9.8xQ4 2024: -21.9xQ1 2025: -17.8xQ2 2025: -14.0xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-17.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-21.9xNet Cash

RGEN has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

RGEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.2Neutral
Stochastic48.9Neutral

RGEN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RGEN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricRGENSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

RGEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over RGEN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RGEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$176.85.8% below
20 week MA$166.00.3% above
50 week MA$147.613% above
100 week MA$142.817% above
200 week MA$152.19.5% above

RGEN has slipped below its 8-week average, but it's still above the other four, and 9.5% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over RGEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RGEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.2$195.7+112%
2021$195.7$264.7+35%
2022$264.7$167.5-37%
2023$167.5$179.8+7.3%
2024$179.8$145.5-19%
2025$145.5$166.2+14%
2026 YTD$166.2$166.5+0.2%

RGEN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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