LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over RCUS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RCUS

Arcus Biosciences, Inc.

28
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

RCUS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RCUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Strong

RCUS's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are weak.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RCUS PE Valuation

RCUS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

RCUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RCUS's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RCUS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RCUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$25.83
Downside-32%$12.11

Calculated from the latest close: $17.77 on Nov 12.

RCUS trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over RCUS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RCUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.15Q1 2024: $-3.11Q2 2024: $-3.09Q3 2024: $-3.15Q4 2024: $-3.10Q1 2025: $-4.19Q2 2025: $-3.17Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-3.29Q1 2026: $-3.17Q2 2026: $-3.89Q3 2026: $-3.62
Q4 2023: $-4.15Q1 2024: $-3.11Q2 2024: $-3.09Q3 2024: $-3.15Q4 2024: $-3.10Q1 2025: $-4.19Q2 2025: $-3.17Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-3.29Q1 2026: $-3.17Q2 2026: $-3.89Q3 2026: $-3.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.62-$0.18
Q2 2026-$3.89-$0.72
Q1 2026-$3.17+$1.02
Q4 2025-$3.29-$0.19
Q3 2025-$3.44-$0.29
Q2 2025-$3.17-$0.08
Q1 2025-$4.19-$1.08
Q4 2024-$3.10+$1.05

RCUS lost $3.62 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over RCUS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RCUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $145MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $160MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $145MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $160MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9M-65%
Q2 2026$41M-74%
Q1 2026$17M-39%
Q4 2025$33M+27%
Q3 2025$26M-46%
Q2 2025$160M+310%
Q1 2025$28M-81%
Q4 2024$26M-16%

RCUS's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $9M last quarter, down 65% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over RCUS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RCUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$94MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$94MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: −$101MQ1 2025: −$133MQ2 2025: −$133MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$121MQ1 2026: −$138MQ2 2026: −$119MQ3 2026: −$88M
Q4 2023: −$94MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$94MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: −$101MQ1 2025: −$133MQ2 2025: −$133MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$121MQ1 2026: −$138MQ2 2026: −$119MQ3 2026: −$88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$88M+$9M
Q2 2026-$119M+$14M
Q1 2026-$138M-$5M
Q4 2025-$121M-$20M
Q3 2025-$97M-488%
Q2 2025-$133M-$39M
Q1 2025-$133M-$127M
Q4 2024-$101M-$7M

RCUS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$466M over the past year, against −$464M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over RCUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RCUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 91MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 126MQ3 2026: 127M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 91MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 126MQ3 2026: 127M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1.3M shares
1 year+20%+20.9M shares
3 years+71%+52.8M shares
5 years+82%+57.3M shares
Available history+189%+83.3M shares

RCUS has 127M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RCUS Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2022-2.7xNet Cash
Q2 2022-3.8xNet Cash
Q1 2022-8.5xNet Cash
Q4 2021-2.6xNet Cash

RCUS has more cash than debt.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

RCUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.2Neutral
Stochastic4.6Oversold

RCUS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RCUS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricRCUSSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

RCUS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over RCUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RCUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.116% below
20 week MA$25.530% below
50 week MA$23.926% below
100 week MA$18.01.1% below
200 week MA$17.80.1% above

RCUS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 0.1% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over RCUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RCUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.7$30.6+187%
2021$30.6$44.6+46%
2022$44.6$20.4-54%
2023$20.4$19.1-6.4%
2024$19.1$15.3-20%
2025$15.3$23.1+51%
2026 YTD$23.1$17.8-23%

RCUS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +187% in 2020 to −54% in 2022. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

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