LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over QTRX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

QTRX

Quanterix Corporation

46
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

QTRX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

QTRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

QTRX's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

QTRX PE Valuation

QTRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over QTRX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

QTRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect QTRX's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QTRX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QTRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$5.20
Downside-45%$1.57

Calculated from the latest close: $2.86 on Nov 12.

QTRX trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over QTRX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

QTRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.76Q1 2024: $-0.89Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.93Q4 2024: $-1.00Q1 2025: $-1.24Q2 2025: $-1.82Q3 2025: $-2.33Q4 2025: $-2.51Q1 2026: $-2.35Q2 2026: $-2.62Q3 2026: $-2.35
Q4 2023: $-0.76Q1 2024: $-0.89Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.93Q4 2024: $-1.00Q1 2025: $-1.24Q2 2025: $-1.82Q3 2025: $-2.33Q4 2025: $-2.51Q1 2026: $-2.35Q2 2026: $-2.62Q3 2026: $-2.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.35-$0.02
Q2 2026-$2.62-$0.80
Q1 2026-$2.35-$1.11
Q4 2025-$2.51-$1.51
Q3 2025-$2.33-$1.40
Q2 2025-$1.82-$0.90
Q1 2025-$1.24-$0.35
Q4 2024-$1.00-$0.24

QTRX lost $2.35 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over QTRX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QTRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$35M-13%
Q2 2026$32.9M+34%
Q1 2026$36.4M+20%
Q4 2025$43.9M+25%
Q3 2025$40.2M+12%
Q2 2025$24.5M-29%
Q1 2025$30.3M-5.4%
Q4 2024$35.2M+11%

QTRX's revenue is growing: $35M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over QTRX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

QTRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$16M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$16.3M+$25.6M
Q2 2026-$5.2M+$1.2M
Q1 2026-$18.2M-$3.1M
Q4 2025-$16.3M-$11.6M
Q3 2025-$41.9M-$35.3M
Q2 2025-$6.4M+$118K
Q1 2025-$15.1M+$5.5M
Q4 2024-$4.7M+$3.4M

QTRX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$56M over the past year, against −$68M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over QTRX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

QTRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+221K shares
1 year+2.9%+1.3M shares
3 years+26%+9.7M shares
5 years+30%+10.9M shares
Available history+69%+19.4M shares

QTRX has 47M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

QTRX Net Leverage

QTRX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

QTRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic39.4Neutral

QTRX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

QTRX PE vs Healthcare Sector

QTRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over QTRX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QTRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.076.8% below
20 week MA$3.2211% below
50 week MA$4.2433% below
100 week MA$5.3747% below
200 week MA$11.976% below

QTRX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over QTRX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QTRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.5$45.9+95%
2021$45.9$43.9-4.5%
2022$43.9$12.9-71%
2023$12.9$27.3+112%
2024$27.3$11.1-60%
2025$11.1$6.46-42%
2026 YTD$6.46$2.86-56%

QTRX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +112% in 2023 to −71% in 2022. It's down 56% so far in 2026.

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