LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

QSI

Quantum-Si incorporated

There isn't enough reported data to score QSI yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

QSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

QSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

QSI PE Valuation

QSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

QSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect QSI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and QSI's risk to reward.

QSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.22 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and QSI's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over QSI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

QSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.65Q2 2024: $-0.63Q3 2024: $-0.64Q4 2024: $-0.71Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.51Q1 2026: $-0.50Q2 2026: $-0.45Q3 2026: $-0.38
Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.65Q2 2024: $-0.63Q3 2024: $-0.64Q4 2024: $-0.71Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.51Q1 2026: $-0.50Q2 2026: $-0.45Q3 2026: $-0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.38+$0.29
Q2 2026-$0.45+$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.50+$0.18
Q4 2025-$0.51+$0.20
Q3 2025-$0.67-$0.03
Q2 2025-$0.68-$0.05
Q1 2025-$0.68-$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.71-$0.03

QSI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.38 per share over the past year, against $0.95 at its worst in late 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over QSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $400,000Q1 2024: $457,000Q2 2024: $622,000Q3 2024: $787,000Q4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $842,000Q2 2025: $591,000Q3 2025: $552,000Q4 2025: $451,000Q1 2026: $258,000Q2 2026: $344,000Q3 2026: $212,000
Q4 2023: $400,000Q1 2024: $457,000Q2 2024: $622,000Q3 2024: $787,000Q4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $842,000Q2 2025: $591,000Q3 2025: $552,000Q4 2025: $451,000Q1 2026: $258,000Q2 2026: $344,000Q3 2026: $212,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$212K-62%
Q2 2026$344K-42%
Q1 2026$258K-69%
Q4 2025$451K-62%
Q3 2025$552K-30%
Q2 2025$591K-5%
Q1 2025$842K+84%
Q4 2024$1.2M+198%

QSI's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $212,000 last quarter, down 62% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over QSI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

QSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$21MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$20MQ3 2024: โˆ’$24MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: โˆ’$27MQ2 2025: โˆ’$21MQ3 2025: โˆ’$33MQ4 2025: โˆ’$16MQ1 2026: โˆ’$26MQ2 2026: โˆ’$19MQ3 2026: โˆ’$21M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$21MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$20MQ3 2024: โˆ’$24MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: โˆ’$27MQ2 2025: โˆ’$21MQ3 2025: โˆ’$33MQ4 2025: โˆ’$16MQ1 2026: โˆ’$26MQ2 2026: โˆ’$19MQ3 2026: โˆ’$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20.6M+$12.3M
Q2 2026-$18.5M+$2M
Q1 2026-$25.9M+$1.5M
Q4 2025-$16.3M+$8M
Q3 2025-$32.9M-$8.8M
Q2 2025-$20.5M-$844K
Q1 2025-$27.5M-$3.2M
Q4 2024-$24.3M-$3.7M

QSI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$81M over the past year, against โˆ’$105M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over QSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

QSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 142MQ3 2024: 142MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 184MQ3 2025: 209MQ4 2025: 198MQ1 2026: 216MQ2 2026: 218MQ3 2026: 219M
Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 142MQ3 2024: 142MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 184MQ3 2025: 209MQ4 2025: 198MQ1 2026: 216MQ2 2026: 218MQ3 2026: 219M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+1.2M shares
1 year+4.8%+9.9M shares
3 years+55%+77.3M shares
5 years+3972%+214M shares

QSI has 219M diluted shares, up 4.8% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

QSI Net Leverage

QSI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

QSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic57.2Neutral

QSI's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

QSI PE vs Healthcare Sector

QSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over QSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.316.9% below
20 week MA$1.0022% above
50 week MA$1.0220% above
100 week MA$1.3610% below
200 week MA$1.4818% below

QSI's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 18% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over QSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.88$10.2+3%
2021$10.2$8.16-20%
2022$8.16$2.07-75%
2023$2.07$2.01-2.9%
2024$2.01$3.60+79%
2025$3.60$1.23-66%
2026 YTD$1.23$1.22-0.8%

QSI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 0.8% so far in 2026.

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