LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over QGEN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

QGEN

Qiagen N.V.

63
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

QGEN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

QGEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

QGEN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

QGEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE457x914x1370x1827x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE457x914x1370x1827x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$50.10—
Cheap21x$41.00-18%
Fair26x$51.64+3.1%
Current26x$50.10—
Expensive99x$194+287%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QGEN has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over QGEN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

QGEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for QGEN, with profitability holding steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QGEN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

QGEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$57.85
Downside-17%$41.77

Calculated from the latest close: $50.10 on Nov 12.

QGEN trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

QGEN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.49Q4 2023: $1.53Q1 2024: $1.51Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.38Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.70Q3 2025: $1.86Q4 2025: $1.97Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $1.95Forward: $2.54
Q3 2023: $1.49Q4 2023: $1.53Q1 2024: $1.51Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.38Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.70Q3 2025: $1.86Q4 2025: $1.97Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $1.95Forward: $2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.54+30%
Q2 2026$1.95+15%
Q1 2026$1.89+340%
Q4 2025$1.97+418%
Q3 2025$1.86+354%
Q2 2025$1.70+431%
Q1 2025$0.43-72%
Q4 2024$0.38-75%
Q3 2024$0.41-72%

QGEN earned $1.95 per share over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over QGEN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

QGEN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $476MQ4 2023: $509MQ1 2024: $459MQ2 2024: $496MQ3 2024: $502MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: $483MQ2 2025: $534MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $540MQ1 2026: $492MQ2 2026: $535M
Q3 2023: $476MQ4 2023: $509MQ1 2024: $459MQ2 2024: $496MQ3 2024: $502MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: $483MQ2 2025: $534MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $540MQ1 2026: $492MQ2 2026: $535M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$535M+0.3%
Q1 2026$492.3M+1.8%
Q4 2025$540.4M+3.7%
Q3 2025$532.6M+6.1%
Q2 2025$533.5M+7.5%
Q1 2025$483.5M+5.4%
Q4 2024$521.2M+2.4%
Q3 2024$501.9M+5.5%

QGEN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $535M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over QGEN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QGEN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $84MQ4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $142MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $121MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $158M
Q3 2023: $84MQ4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $142MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $121MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $158M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$157.8M+31%
Q1 2026$53.7M-44%
Q4 2025$117.2M-17%
Q3 2025$119M-14%
Q2 2025$120.6M-5.6%
Q1 2025$95.8M+1.2%
Q4 2024$141.9M+43%
Q3 2024$138M+65%

QGEN generated $448M in free cash flow over the past year, down 9.8% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

QGEN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 224MQ4 2023: 224MQ1 2024: 227MQ2 2024: 222MQ3 2024: 224MQ4 2024: 218MQ1 2025: 220MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 218MQ4 2025: 208MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 208M
Q3 2023: 224MQ4 2023: 224MQ1 2024: 227MQ2 2024: 222MQ3 2024: 224MQ4 2024: 218MQ1 2025: 220MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 218MQ4 2025: 208MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 208M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.1M shares
1 year-4.7%-10.4M shares
3 years-7.1%-15.8M shares
5 years-10%-24.1M shares
Available history-8.3%-18.7M shares

QGEN has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

QGEN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.3xQ4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 1.3xQ4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate
Q3 20242.6xModerate

QGEN's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

QGEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.4Overbought
Stochastic92.8Overbought

QGEN's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 93 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

QGEN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricQGENSector medianRelative
PE26x26x0.6% below
PE %442915 pts above

QGEN has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

QGEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.75.1% above
20 week MA$44.413% above
50 week MA$43.515% above
100 week MA$44.114% above
200 week MA$43.914% above

QGEN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over QGEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QGEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.9$52.6+55%
2021$52.6$55.7+5.8%
2022$55.7$49.7-11%
2023$49.7$43.8-12%
2024$43.8$44.0+0.5%
2025$44.0$47.8+8.6%
2026 YTD$47.8$50.1+4.9%

QGEN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.9% so far in 2026.

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