LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over QCOM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

QCOM

QUALCOMM Incorporated

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

QCOM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

QCOM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

QCOM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

QCOM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$175-1.1%
Current14x$177—
Fair20x$248+40%
Expensive26x$333+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QCOM has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

QCOM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for QCOM to show an outlook.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QCOM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

QCOM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$224.30
Downside-41%$103.77

Calculated from the latest close: $177.14 on Nov 12.

QCOM trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over QCOM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.70+153%
Q2 2026$8.76-15%
Q1 2026$9.32-4.9%
Q4 2025$4.96-47%
Q3 2025$5.01-44%
Q2 2025$10.35+34%
Q1 2025$9.80+32%
Q4 2024$9.34+35%

QCOM earned $12.70 per share over the past year, up 153% from the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over QCOM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.3B-8.4%
Q2 2026$9.9B-4%
Q1 2026$10.6B-3.5%
Q4 2025$12.3B+5%
Q3 2025$11.3B+10%
Q2 2025$10.4B+10%
Q1 2025$11B+17%
Q4 2024$11.7B+17%

QCOM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $10.3B last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over QCOM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B-49%
Q2 2026$495M-81%
Q1 2026$1.9B-18%
Q4 2025$4.4B+2.5%
Q3 2025$3.6B+50%
Q2 2025$2.6B-3.2%
Q1 2025$2.3B-31%
Q4 2024$4.3B+58%

QCOM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $8.7B over the past year, down 33% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

QCOM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+4M shares
1 year-2.9%-32M shares
3 years-4.7%-53M shares
5 years-6.6%-76M shares
Available history-7.4%-86M shares

QCOM has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

QCOM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

QCOM has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

QCOM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic40.2Neutral

QCOM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

QCOM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQCOMSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %173518 pts below

QCOM has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over QCOM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QCOM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$177.20% below
20 week MA$172.82.5% above
50 week MA$170.73.8% above
100 week MA$164.37.8% above
200 week MA$155.114% above

QCOM's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 14% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over QCOM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QCOM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.8$148.8+68%
2021$148.8$182.7+23%
2022$182.7$110.8-39%
2023$110.8$144.6+30%
2024$144.6$157.2+8.7%
2025$157.2$174.8+11%
2026 YTD$174.8$177.1+1.3%

QCOM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 1.3% so far in 2026.

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