LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

PYPD

PolyPid Ltd.

There isn't enough reported data to score PYPD yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PYPD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

PYPD's profitability is currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PYPD PE Valuation

PYPD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

PYPD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PYPD's losses to grow, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and PYPD's risk to reward.

PYPD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $6.40 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and PYPD's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over PYPD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PYPD Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-12.56Q2 2024: $-9.86Q3 2024: $-7.68Q4 2024: $-4.97Q1 2025: $-4.30Q2 2025: $-3.83Q3 2025: $-2.98Q4 2025: $-2.26Q1 2026: $-1.91Q2 2026: $-1.48
Q1 2024: $-12.56Q2 2024: $-9.86Q3 2024: $-7.68Q4 2024: $-4.97Q1 2025: $-4.30Q2 2025: $-3.83Q3 2025: $-2.98Q4 2025: $-2.26Q1 2026: $-1.91Q2 2026: $-1.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.48+$2.35
Q1 2026-$1.91+$2.39
Q4 2025-$2.26+$2.71
Q3 2025-$2.98+$4.70
Q2 2025-$3.83+$6.03
Q1 2025-$4.30+$8.26

PYPD is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.48 per share over the past year, against $12.56 at its worst in early 2024.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over PYPD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PYPD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0

PYPD's revenue is shrinking: $0 last quarter.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over PYPD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PYPD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2023$0$0
Q3 2023$0$0
Q4 2022$0$0
Q4 2021$0$0
Q4 2020$0+$12.6M

PYPD's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over PYPD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PYPD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+713K shares
1 year+76%+9.8M shares
3 years+1430%+21.2M shares

PYPD has 23M diluted shares, up 76% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PYPD Net Leverage

PYPD's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

PYPD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.6Neutral
Stochastic83.4Overbought

PYPD's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

PYPD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPYPDSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

PYPD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

PYPD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.4218% above
20 week MA$5.1325% above
50 week MA$4.7036% above
100 week MA$3.9562% above
200 week MA$5.859.4% above

PYPD has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 9.4% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

PYPD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$570.0$301.8-47%
2021$301.8$172.5-43%
2022$172.5$21.7-87%
2023$21.7$3.80-82%
2024$3.80$2.89-24%
2025$2.89$4.07+41%
2026 YTD$4.07$6.40+57%

PYPD has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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