LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

PTHS

Pelthos Therapeutics Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score PTHS yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PTHS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

PTHS's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PTHS PE Valuation

PTHS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

PTHS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PTHS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and PTHS's risk to reward.

PTHS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and PTHS's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over PTHS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PTHS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $-18.37Q4 2024: $-14.30Q1 2025: $-12.00Q2 2025: $-14.28Q3 2025: $-16.68Q4 2025: $-23.04Q1 2026: $-27.41Q2 2026: $-28.65Q3 2026: $-25.39
Q3 2024: $-18.37Q4 2024: $-14.30Q1 2025: $-12.00Q2 2025: $-14.28Q3 2025: $-16.68Q4 2025: $-23.04Q1 2026: $-27.41Q2 2026: $-28.65Q3 2026: $-25.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$25.39-$8.71
Q2 2026-$28.65-$14.37
Q1 2026-$27.41-$15.41
Q4 2025-$23.04-$8.74
Q3 2025-$16.68+$1.69

PTHS lost $25.39 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

PTHS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$15.4M+108%

PTHS has the edge over LLY in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with PTHS at down 187%.

PTHS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$356,810Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$177,911Q4 2024: −$670,264Q1 2025: −$632,126Q2 2025: −$447,145Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: −$356,810Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$177,911Q4 2024: −$670,264Q1 2025: −$632,126Q2 2025: −$447,145Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.2M+$10M
Q2 2026-$7.7M-$7.2M
Q1 2026-$13.3M-$12.7M
Q3 2025-$15.3M-$15.1M
Q2 2025-$447.1K+$2.5M
Q1 2025-$632.1K+$1.4M
Q4 2024-$670.3K-$313.5K

PTHS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$41M over the past year, against −$2M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over PTHS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PTHS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 587,783Q1 2024: 469,099Q2 2024: 577,371Q3 2024: 579,229Q4 2024: 557,447Q1 2025: 612,792Q2 2025: 640,518Q3 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 4MQ3 2026: 4M
Q4 2023: 587,783Q1 2024: 469,099Q2 2024: 577,371Q3 2024: 579,229Q4 2024: 557,447Q1 2025: 612,792Q2 2025: 640,518Q3 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 4MQ3 2026: 4M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+323K shares
1 year+503%+3.2M shares

PTHS has 4M diluted shares, up 503% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PTHS Net Leverage

PTHS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

PTHS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.4Oversold
Stochastic1.5Oversold

PTHS's weekly RSI is 20 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

PTHS PE vs Healthcare Sector

PTHS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has stronger trend alignment. LLY is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus PTHS above 0 of 3.

PTHS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.949% below
20 week MA$21.863% below
50 week MA$23.666% below

PTHS is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 66% below its 50-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over PTHS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PTHS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$13.5$25.7+90%
2026 YTD$25.7$8.03-69%

PTHS has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 69% so far in 2026.

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