LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over PTCT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PTCT

PTC Therapeutics, Inc.

46
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

PTCT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PTCT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

PTCT's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PTCT PE Valuation

PTCT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

PTCT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PTCT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PTCT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PTCT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$81.98
Downside-22%$49.23

Calculated from the latest close: $63.36 on Nov 12.

PTCT trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over PTCT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PTCT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-8.37Q1 2024: $-7.69Q2 2024: $-6.32Q3 2024: $-5.95Q4 2024: $-4.73Q1 2025: $6.51Q2 2025: $6.97Q3 2025: $8.56Q4 2025: $7.78Q1 2026: $-2.29Q2 2026: $-0.54Q3 2026: $-1.36Forward: $1.93
Q4 2023: $-8.37Q1 2024: $-7.69Q2 2024: $-6.32Q3 2024: $-5.95Q4 2024: $-4.73Q1 2025: $6.51Q2 2025: $6.97Q3 2025: $8.56Q4 2025: $7.78Q1 2026: $-2.29Q2 2026: $-0.54Q3 2026: $-1.36Forward: $1.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.93—
Q3 2026-$1.36-116%
Q2 2026-$0.54-108%
Q1 2026-$2.29-135%
Q4 2025$7.78+$12.51
Q3 2025$8.56+$14.51
Q2 2025$6.97+$13.29
Q1 2025$6.51+$14.20
Q4 2024-$4.73+$3.64

PTCT has swung to a loss: it lost $1.36 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over PTCT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PTCT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $307MQ1 2024: $210MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $197MQ4 2024: $213MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $273MQ2 2026: $361MQ3 2026: $358M
Q4 2023: $307MQ1 2024: $210MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $197MQ4 2024: $213MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $273MQ2 2026: $361MQ3 2026: $358M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$357.8M+70%
Q2 2026$360.5M+102%
Q1 2026$272.6M-77%
Q4 2025$164.7M-23%
Q3 2025$211M+7.2%
Q2 2025$178.9M-4.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B+460%
Q4 2024$213.2M-31%

PTCT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2025 peak: $358M last quarter, up 70% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

PTCT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$106MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: −$64MQ3 2024: −$78MQ4 2024: −$34MQ1 2025: $868MQ2 2025: −$60MQ3 2025: −$70MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$60MQ2 2026: $127MQ3 2026: −$28M
Q4 2023: −$106MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: −$64MQ3 2024: −$78MQ4 2024: −$34MQ1 2025: $868MQ2 2025: −$60MQ3 2025: −$70MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$60MQ2 2026: $127MQ3 2026: −$28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$28M+$41.8M
Q2 2026$126.9M+$186.6M
Q1 2026-$60.2M-107%
Q4 2025-$36.6M-$2.9M
Q3 2025-$69.7M+$7.8M
Q2 2025-$59.7M+$4.4M
Q1 2025$868.4M+1320%
Q4 2024-$33.8M+$72.1M

PTCT has burned cash in almost every quarter: $2M over the past year, down 100% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

PTCT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 77MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 77MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-9.3%-8.5M shares
1 year-4.2%-3.6M shares
3 years+11%+8.1M shares
5 years+18%+12.9M shares
Available history+42%+24.6M shares

PTCT has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PTCT Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -51.7xQ3 2024: -15.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2024: -51.7xQ3 2024: -15.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-15.8xNet Cash
Q2 2024-51.7xNet Cash

PTCT has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

PTCT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic24.9Neutral

PTCT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

PTCT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPTCTSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

PTCT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over PTCT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PTCT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.41.5% above
20 week MA$68.87.9% below
50 week MA$70.911% below
100 week MA$62.31.7% above
200 week MA$49.129% above

PTCT's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 29% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over PTCT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PTCT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.8$65.1+33%
2021$65.1$41.9-36%
2022$41.9$36.5-13%
2023$36.5$27.6-24%
2024$27.6$45.2+64%
2025$45.2$78.6+74%
2026 YTD$78.6$63.4-19%

PTCT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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