LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over PSNL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

PSNL

Personalis, Inc.

48
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

PSNL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PSNL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

PSNL's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PSNL PE Valuation

PSNL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

PSNL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PSNL's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PSNL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PSNL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$28.35
Downside-44%$8.95

Calculated from the latest close: $15.86 on Nov 12.

PSNL trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over PSNL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PSNL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.25Q1 2024: $-1.90Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.68Q4 2024: $-1.37Q1 2025: $-1.29Q2 2025: $-1.28Q3 2025: $-0.88Q4 2025: $-0.91Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-2.25Q1 2024: $-1.90Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.68Q4 2024: $-1.37Q1 2025: $-1.29Q2 2025: $-1.28Q3 2025: $-0.88Q4 2025: $-0.91Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17-$0.29
Q2 2026-$1.09+$0.19
Q1 2026-$1.02+$0.27
Q4 2025-$0.91+$0.46
Q3 2025-$0.88+$0.80
Q2 2025-$1.28+$0.36
Q1 2025-$1.29+$0.61
Q4 2024-$1.37+$0.88

PSNL is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $2.48 at its worst in late 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over PSNL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PSNL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25.6M+77%
Q2 2026$22.4M+30%
Q1 2026$15.5M-25%
Q4 2025$17.3M+3.2%
Q3 2025$14.5M-44%
Q2 2025$17.2M-24%
Q1 2025$20.6M+5.5%
Q4 2024$16.8M-15%

PSNL's revenue is growing: $26M last quarter, up 77% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over PSNL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PSNL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$30M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$30.1M-$6.7M
Q2 2026-$29.6M-$16.3M
Q1 2026-$25.7M-$5.2M
Q4 2025-$22.3M-$13.3M
Q3 2025-$23.4M-$17M
Q2 2025-$13.2M-$2.5M
Q1 2025-$20.5M+$45K
Q4 2024-$9M+$7.9M

PSNL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$108M over the past year, against −$66M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over PSNL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PSNL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 89MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 89MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.7%+1.8M shares
1 year+21%+18.5M shares
3 years+125%+59.5M shares
5 years+144%+63.2M shares
Available history+242%+75.9M shares

PSNL has 107M diluted shares, up 21% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PSNL Net Leverage

PSNL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

PSNL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic50.9Neutral

PSNL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

PSNL PE vs Healthcare Sector

PSNL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over PSNL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PSNL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.00.6% below
20 week MA$15.42.8% above
50 week MA$11.242% above
100 week MA$8.4687% above
200 week MA$5.45191% above

PSNL's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 191% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

PSNL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.68$41.5+329%
2021$41.5$14.4-65%
2022$14.4$1.95-86%
2023$1.95$2.10+7.7%
2024$2.10$5.87+180%
2025$5.87$8.14+39%
2026 YTD$8.14$15.9+95%

PSNL has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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