LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over PROK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

PROK

ProKidney Corp.

40
Fundamentals28/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

PROK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PROK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

PROK's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PROK PE Valuation

PROK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

PROK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PROK's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PROK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PROK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$1.89
Downside-39%$0.70

Calculated from the latest close: $1.15 on Nov 12.

PROK trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over PROK on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PROK Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.58Q2 2024: $-0.60Q3 2024: $-0.56Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.60Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.55Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $-0.57Q3 2026: $-0.62
Q1 2024: $-0.58Q2 2024: $-0.60Q3 2024: $-0.56Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.60Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.55Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $-0.57Q3 2026: $-0.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.62-$0.07
Q2 2026-$0.57$0.00
Q1 2026-$0.55+$0.05
Q4 2025-$0.52+$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.55+$0.01
Q2 2025-$0.57+$0.03
Q1 2025-$0.60-$0.02

PROK lost $0.62 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over PROK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PROK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $76,000Q1 2025: $230,000Q2 2025: $221,000Q3 2025: $217,000Q4 2025: $225,000Q1 2026: $226,000Q2 2026: $150,000Q3 2026: $174,000
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $76,000Q1 2025: $230,000Q2 2025: $221,000Q3 2025: $217,000Q4 2025: $225,000Q1 2026: $226,000Q2 2026: $150,000Q3 2026: $174,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$174K-20%
Q2 2026$150K-32%
Q1 2026$226K-1.7%
Q4 2025$225K+196%

PROK's revenue is growing: $174,000 last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over PROK on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PROK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$27MQ1 2024: โˆ’$36MQ2 2024: โˆ’$39MQ3 2024: โˆ’$32MQ4 2024: โˆ’$50MQ1 2025: โˆ’$31MQ2 2025: โˆ’$35MQ3 2025: โˆ’$32MQ4 2025: โˆ’$38MQ1 2026: โˆ’$45MQ2 2026: โˆ’$44MQ3 2026: โˆ’$40M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$27MQ1 2024: โˆ’$36MQ2 2024: โˆ’$39MQ3 2024: โˆ’$32MQ4 2024: โˆ’$50MQ1 2025: โˆ’$31MQ2 2025: โˆ’$35MQ3 2025: โˆ’$32MQ4 2025: โˆ’$38MQ1 2026: โˆ’$45MQ2 2026: โˆ’$44MQ3 2026: โˆ’$40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$39.9M-$8.1M
Q2 2026-$44.2M-$9.7M
Q1 2026-$45.5M-$14.7M
Q4 2025-$38.3M+$11.4M
Q3 2025-$31.8M-$148K
Q2 2025-$34.5M+$4.4M
Q1 2025-$30.7M+$4.9M
Q4 2024-$49.7M-$22.7M

PROK has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$168M over the past year, against โˆ’$147M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over PROK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PROK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 140MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 187MQ3 2026: 302M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 140MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 187MQ3 2026: 302M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+62%+116M shares
1 year+124%+167M shares
3 years+391%+241M shares

PROK has 302M diluted shares, up 124% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PROK Net Leverage

PROK's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

PROK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.2Neutral
Stochastic15.2Oversold

PROK's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

PROK PE vs Healthcare Sector

PROK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over PROK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PROK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.4219% below
20 week MA$1.6028% below
50 week MA$1.8638% below
100 week MA$1.8337% below
200 week MA$3.4867% below

PROK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over PROK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PROK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.1$9.86-1.9%
2022$9.86$6.53-34%
2023$6.53$1.78-73%
2024$1.78$1.70-4.5%
2025$1.70$2.53+49%
2026 YTD$2.53$1.15-55%

PROK has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's down 55% so far in 2026.

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