LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY has the edge over PODD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
PODD
Insulet Corporation
PODD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PODD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
PODD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
PODD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 20x | $149 | — |
| Current | 24x | $149 | — |
| Cheap | 45x | $277 | +86% |
| Fair | 136x | $835 | +459% |
| Expensive | 1,179x | $7,213 | +4732% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PODD has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.
PODD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PODD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the edge over PODD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PODD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.52 | +23% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.12 | +78% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.33 | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.28 | -23% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.48 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.44 | -41% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.28 | -41% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.55 | +67% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.78 | +97% |
PODD earned $6.12 per share over the past year, up 78% from the year before.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over PODD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY has the edge over PODD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PODD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $842M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $801.7M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $761.7M | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $783.8M | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $706.3M | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $649.1M | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $569M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $597.5M | +17% |
PODD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $842M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +7.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | +2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -2.6 points |
PODD's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY has the edge over PODD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PODD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $66.4M | -34% |
| Q2 2026 | $55.9M | -69% |
| Q1 2026 | $89.5M | +74% |
| Q4 2025 | $48.2M | -49% |
| Q3 2025 | $100.1M | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $177.9M | +140% |
| Q1 2025 | $51.5M | -21% |
| Q4 2024 | $94.1M | +492% |
PODD still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $260M over the past year.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
PODD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +89K shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -1.2M shares |
| 3 years | -5.6% | -4.1M shares |
| 5 years | -0.2% | -127K shares |
| Available history | +12% | +7.2M shares |
PODD has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $300M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $29.5M |
PODD spent $300M buying back its own shares over the past year.
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
PODD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
PODD has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
PODD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 48.9 | Neutral |
PODD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
PODD PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | PODD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 26x | 5.6% below |
| PE % | 0 | 29 | 29 pts below |
PODD has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY has the edge over PODD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PODD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $142.3 | 4.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $147.8 | 1% above |
| 50 week MA | $191.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $243.7 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $234.4 | 36% below |
PODD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has the edge over PODD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PODD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $172.5 | $257.3 | +49% |
| 2021 | $257.3 | $273.3 | +6.2% |
| 2022 | $273.3 | $292.1 | +6.9% |
| 2023 | $292.1 | $217.0 | -26% |
| 2024 | $217.0 | $265.1 | +22% |
| 2025 | $265.1 | $288.6 | +8.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $288.6 | $149.3 | -48% |
PODD is down 48% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.