LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over PHR overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

PHR

Phreesia, Inc.

64
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

PHR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

PHR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PHR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x198x264x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x198x264x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$12.62—
Cheap59x$10.60-16%
Fair68x$12.27-2.8%
Current70x$12.62—
Expensive215x$38.67+206%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHR has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over PHR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

PHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PHR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PHR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$18.92
Downside-33%$8.47

Calculated from the latest close: $12.62 on Nov 12.

PHR trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

PHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.51Q2 2024: $-2.16Q3 2024: $-1.79Q4 2024: $-1.46Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.74Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $0.04Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.18Forward: $0.62
Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.51Q2 2024: $-2.16Q3 2024: $-1.79Q4 2024: $-1.46Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.74Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $0.04Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.18Forward: $0.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.62+245%
Q3 2026$0.18+$0.60
Q2 2026$0.16+$0.90
Q1 2026$0.04+$1.06
Q4 2025-$0.10+$1.36
Q3 2025-$0.42+$1.37
Q2 2025-$0.74+$1.42
Q1 2025-$1.02+$1.49
Q4 2024-$1.46+$1.22

PHR has returned to profit: it earned $0.18 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over PHR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $116MQ3 2025: $117MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $131MQ3 2026: $129M
Q4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $116MQ3 2025: $117MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $131MQ3 2026: $129M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$129.5M+10%
Q2 2026$130.9M+13%
Q1 2026$127.1M+16%
Q4 2025$120.3M+13%
Q3 2025$117.3M+15%
Q2 2025$115.9M+15%
Q1 2025$109.7M+15%
Q4 2024$106.8M+17%

PHR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $129M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

PHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $18M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$17.8M+36%
Q2 2026$19.6M+73%
Q1 2026$31.1M+131%
Q4 2025$12.2M+136%
Q3 2025$13.1M+97%
Q2 2025$11.3M+$12.9M
Q1 2025$13.5M+$19M
Q4 2024$5.2M+$12.7M

PHR has the edge over LLY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over PHR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+423K shares
1 year+1.3%+778K shares
3 years+16%+8.7M shares
5 years+24%+11.9M shares
Available history+75%+26.7M shares

PHR has 62M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PHR Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -44.5xQ4 2025: -4.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q3 2025: -44.5xQ4 2025: -4.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-44.5xNet Cash

PHR has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

PHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic80.7Overbought

PHR's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over PHR on valuation relative to its sector.

PHR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPHRSector medianRelative
PE70x26x171% above
PE %562927 pts above

PHR is trading at 70x earnings, a 171% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over PHR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.59.4% above
20 week MA$11.312% above
50 week MA$11.86.8% above
100 week MA$18.733% below
200 week MA$21.942% below

PHR has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 42% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over PHR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.4$57.3+117%
2021$57.3$44.2-23%
2022$44.2$33.5-24%
2023$33.5$23.2-31%
2024$23.2$25.8+11%
2025$25.8$17.0-34%
2026 YTD$17.0$12.6-26%

PHR has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

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