LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over PHG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

PHG

Koninklijke Philips N.V.

64
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

PHG's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PHG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

PHG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over PHG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PHG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x86x128x171x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x86x128x171x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7x$9.06-70%
Current23x$30.05—
Fair29x$37.91+26%
Expensive40x$51.41+71%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHG's PE is 23x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

PHG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PHG, with profitability improving.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PHG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PHG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$36.95
Downside-18%$24.53

Calculated from the latest close: $30.05 on Nov 12.

PHG trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over PHG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-0.87Q1 2025: $0.44Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.29
Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-0.87Q1 2025: $0.44Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.29+579%
Q1 2026$1.12+155%
Q4 2025$1.03+$1.90
Q3 2025$0.18+$0.61
Q2 2025$0.19+$0.73
Q1 2025$0.44+$1.43
Q1 2024-$0.99+$1.60
Q1 2023-$2.59-171%

PHG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.29 over the past year, against $4.36 in late 2021.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over PHG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $5BQ4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $4.6BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $5.7BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $5BQ4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $4.6BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $5.6BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $5.7BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+0.5%
Q1 2026$4.3B-4.7%
Q4 2025$5.7B+1.1%
Q3 2025$4.8B-1.7%
Q2 2025$4.8B-2.8%
Q1 2025$4.6B-1%
Q4 2024$5.6B-0.4%
Q3 2024$4.9B-2.1%

PHG's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $4.8B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over PHG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: −$379MQ2 2024: −$78MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $253MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $130MQ2 2026: $243M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: −$379MQ2 2024: −$78MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $253MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $130MQ2 2026: $243M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$243.3M-3.9%
Q1 2026$129.9M+$1.3B
Q4 2025$1.5B+$1.5B
Q3 2025$287.7M+$287.7M
Q2 2025$253.3M+$331M
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$776.3M
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

PHG's free cash flow is usually positive and has bounced back after one negative quarter: $2.1B over the past year, against −$902M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over PHG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PHG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 948MQ4 2023: 935MQ1 2024: 906MQ2 2024: 942MQ3 2024: 913MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 938MQ2 2025: 957MQ3 2025: 964MQ4 2025: 966MQ1 2026: 969MQ2 2026: 969M
Q3 2023: 948MQ4 2023: 935MQ1 2024: 906MQ2 2024: 942MQ3 2024: 913MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 938MQ2 2025: 957MQ3 2025: 964MQ4 2025: 966MQ1 2026: 969MQ2 2026: 969M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+44K shares
1 year+1.2%+11.9M shares
3 years+2.3%+22M shares
5 years+1.3%+12.3M shares
Available history+0.6%+6.2M shares

PHG has 969M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over PHG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PHG Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.9x
Q1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.0xModerate
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20246.2xHigh
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash

PHG's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

PHG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.3Neutral
Stochastic84.8Overbought

PHG's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

PHG PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPHGSector medianRelative
PE23x26x9.8% below
PE %2929Same percentile

PHG has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

PHG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.613% above
20 week MA$26.613% above
50 week MA$27.49.9% above
100 week MA$26.713% above
200 week MA$24.523% above

PHG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over PHG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PHG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.5$49.8+12%
2021$49.8$33.6-33%
2022$33.6$14.9-56%
2023$14.9$22.6+51%
2024$22.6$25.6+13%
2025$25.6$27.1+6%
2026 YTD$27.1$30.1+11%

PHG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.

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