LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

PGEN

Precigen, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score PGEN yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PGEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Unavailable

PGEN's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over PGEN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PGEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.2x$4.66โ€”
Cheap7.9x$0.55-88%
Fair9.5x$0.66-86%
Expensive14x$0.98-79%
Current67x$4.66โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PGEN's PE is 67x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

PGEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PGEN to return to profit, with revenue growing.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and PGEN's risk to reward.

PGEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $4.66 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and PGEN's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over PGEN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PGEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.39Q1 2024: $-0.39Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.55Q4 2024: $-0.47Q1 2025: $-0.55Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-1.38Q4 2025: $-1.37Q1 2026: $-1.21Q2 2026: $-1.07Q3 2026: $0.07Forward: $0.65
Q4 2023: $-0.39Q1 2024: $-0.39Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.55Q4 2024: $-0.47Q1 2025: $-0.55Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-1.38Q4 2025: $-1.37Q1 2026: $-1.21Q2 2026: $-1.07Q3 2026: $0.07Forward: $0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.65+829%
Q3 2026$0.07+$1.45
Q2 2026-$1.07-$0.66
Q1 2026-$1.21-$0.66
Q4 2025-$1.37-$0.90
Q3 2025-$1.38-$0.83
Q2 2025-$0.41+$0.13
Q1 2025-$0.55-$0.16
Q4 2024-$0.47-$0.08

PGEN has returned to profit: it earned $0.07 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

PGEN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 39% for LLY versus up 3,906% for PGEN.

PGEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $74M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $74M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2023$1.8M-39%
Q1 2023$1.9M-94%
Q4 2022$1.8M-93%
Q3 2022$16.7M-22%
Q2 2022$2.9M-91%
Q1 2022$32M+31%
Q4 2021$24.2M+25%
Q3 2021$21.6M-8.6%

PGEN's revenue is growing: $74M last quarter, up 3906% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over PGEN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PGEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17MQ1 2024: โˆ’$18MQ2 2024: โˆ’$25MQ3 2024: โˆ’$24MQ4 2024: โˆ’$9MQ1 2025: โˆ’$17MQ2 2025: โˆ’$20MQ3 2025: โˆ’$29MQ4 2025: โˆ’$23MQ1 2026: โˆ’$44MQ2 2026: โˆ’$18MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17MQ1 2024: โˆ’$18MQ2 2024: โˆ’$25MQ3 2024: โˆ’$24MQ4 2024: โˆ’$9MQ1 2025: โˆ’$17MQ2 2025: โˆ’$20MQ3 2025: โˆ’$29MQ4 2025: โˆ’$23MQ1 2026: โˆ’$44MQ2 2026: โˆ’$18MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.4M+$40.9M
Q2 2026-$18.2M+$1.7M
Q1 2026-$44.1M-$27.1M
Q4 2025-$23.5M-$14.2M
Q3 2025-$29.5M-$5.8M
Q2 2025-$19.9M+$5.5M
Q1 2025-$16.9M+$1.5M
Q4 2024-$9.3M+$7.5M

PGEN has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$74M over the past year, against โˆ’$76M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over PGEN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PGEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 245MQ1 2024: 249MQ2 2024: 252MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 268MQ1 2025: 294MQ2 2025: 296MQ3 2025: 307MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 414MQ3 2026: 421M
Q4 2023: 245MQ1 2024: 249MQ2 2024: 252MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 268MQ1 2025: 294MQ2 2025: 296MQ3 2025: 307MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 414MQ3 2026: 421M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.8%+7.5M shares
1 year+37%+114M shares
3 years+69%+173M shares
5 years+112%+222M shares
Available history+173%+267M shares

PGEN has 421M diluted shares, up 37% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PGEN Net Leverage

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

PGEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.6Neutral
Stochastic23.8Neutral

PGEN's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over PGEN on valuation relative to its sector.

PGEN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPGENSector medianRelative
PE67x26x158% above
PE %1002971 pts above

PGEN is trading at 67x earnings, a 158% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over PGEN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PGEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.5929% below
20 week MA$6.4828% below
50 week MA$5.108.6% below
100 week MA$3.6827% above
200 week MA$2.4888% above

PGEN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 88% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over PGEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PGEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.74$10.0+75%
2021$10.0$4.10-59%
2022$4.10$1.40-66%
2023$1.40$1.34-4.3%
2024$1.34$0.73-46%
2025$0.73$4.16+470%
2026 YTD$4.16$4.66+12%

PGEN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +470% in 2025 to โˆ’66% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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