LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY has the edge over PACB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
PACB
Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc.
PACB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PACB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
PACB's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
PACB PE Valuation
PACB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.
PACB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect PACB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 51% for LLY versus PACB down 127%.
PACB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | -$1.46 | -$0.19 |
| Q2 2024 | -$1.50 | -$0.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$1.14 | +$0.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$1.21 | +$0.19 |
| Q3 2023 | -$1.27 | +$0.07 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.35 | -$0.43 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.39 | -$0.58 |
| Q4 2022 | -$1.40 | -$0.51 |
PACB lost $0.40 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over PACB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY has the edge over PACB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PACB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $40.6M | +5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $39M | -1.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $37.2M | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $44.6M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $38.4M | -3.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.8M | +10% |
| Q1 2025 | $37.2M | -4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $39.2M | -33% |
PACB's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $41M last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -91% | +9.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | -114% | -1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -22% | +1132 points |
| Q4 2025 | -92% | +298 points |
| Q3 2025 | -101% | +59 points |
| Q2 2025 | -113% | +376 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1155% | -945 points |
| Q4 2024 | -390% | -240 points |
PACB's operating margin was −91% last quarter, up 9.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY has the edge over PACB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
PACB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$38.6M | -$20M |
| Q2 2026 | -$37.1M | -$7.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$47.7M | -$2.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$19.9M | +$12.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$18.6M | +$26.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$29.9M | +$25.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$45.4M | +$34.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$32.3M | +$27.3M |
PACB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$143M over the past year, against −$126M the year before.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has the edge over PACB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
PACB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +592K shares |
| 1 year | +3.5% | +10.4M shares |
| 3 years | +22% | +56.2M shares |
| 5 years | +45% | +96.1M shares |
| Available history | +100% | +155M shares |
PACB has 311M diluted shares, up 3.5% from a year ago.
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
PACB Net Leverage
PACB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
PACB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.9 | Neutral |
PACB's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
PACB PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | PACB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 26x | — |
PACB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY has the edge over PACB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PACB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.15 | 8.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.69 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1.67 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $1.57 | 25% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.13 | 52% below |
PACB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% below its 200-week average.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has the edge over PACB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PACB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.24 | $27.1 | +418% |
| 2021 | $27.1 | $21.4 | -21% |
| 2022 | $21.4 | $8.49 | -60% |
| 2023 | $8.49 | $9.81 | +16% |
| 2024 | $9.81 | $1.86 | -81% |
| 2025 | $1.86 | $1.77 | -4.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.77 | $1.97 | +11% |
PACB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +418% in 2020 to −81% in 2024. It's up 11% so far in 2026.