LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

OTLK

Outlook Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OTLK yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OTLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

OTLK's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OTLK PE Valuation

OTLK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

OTLK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OTLK's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and OTLK's risk to reward.

OTLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.44 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and OTLK's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 51% for LLY versus OTLK down 110%.

OTLK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.80Q4 2023: $-4.00Q1 2024: $-11.41Q2 2024: $-10.70Q3 2025: $-1.85Q4 2025: $-2.95Q1 2026: $-1.50Q2 2026: $-1.10
Q3 2023: $-4.80Q4 2023: $-4.00Q1 2024: $-11.41Q2 2024: $-10.70Q3 2025: $-1.85Q4 2025: $-2.95Q1 2026: $-1.50Q2 2026: $-1.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2024-$10.70-$5.70
Q1 2024-$11.41-$6.41
Q4 2023-$4.00+$2.20
Q3 2023-$4.80+$1.40
Q2 2023-$5.00+$1.40
Q1 2023-$5.00+$1.20
Q4 2022-$6.20$0.00
Q3 2022-$6.20+$0.80

OTLK is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.10 per share over the past year, against $57.80 at its worst in late 2019.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

OTLK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$91,787Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$91,787Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --

OTLK and LLY do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over OTLK on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OTLK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$13MQ4 2023: โˆ’$13MQ1 2024: โˆ’$19MQ2 2024: โˆ’$20MQ3 2024: โˆ’$17MQ4 2024: โˆ’$11MQ1 2025: โˆ’$17MQ2 2025: โˆ’$12MQ3 2025: โˆ’$12MQ4 2025: โˆ’$15MQ1 2026: โˆ’$8MQ2 2026: โˆ’$21M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$13MQ4 2023: โˆ’$13MQ1 2024: โˆ’$19MQ2 2024: โˆ’$20MQ3 2024: โˆ’$17MQ4 2024: โˆ’$11MQ1 2025: โˆ’$17MQ2 2025: โˆ’$12MQ3 2025: โˆ’$12MQ4 2025: โˆ’$15MQ1 2026: โˆ’$8MQ2 2026: โˆ’$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$21M-$9.1M
Q1 2026-$7.8M+$8.8M
Q4 2025-$14.9M-$4M
Q3 2025-$12.4M+$4.6M
Q2 2025-$11.9M+$7.6M
Q1 2025-$16.6M+$2.7M
Q4 2024-$11M+$2.1M
Q3 2024-$17M-$4.2M

OTLK has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$56M over the past year, against โˆ’$56M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over OTLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OTLK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 13MQ4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 137M
Q3 2023: 13MQ4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 137M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+67%+54.9M shares
1 year+270%+99.8M shares
3 years+966%+124M shares
5 years+2146%+131M shares

OTLK has 137M diluted shares, up 270% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

OTLK Net Leverage

OTLK's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

OTLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.7Neutral
Stochastic3.6Oversold

OTLK's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OTLK PE vs Healthcare Sector

OTLK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over OTLK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OTLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5215% below
20 week MA$0.8045% below
50 week MA$0.7642% below
100 week MA$1.2063% below
200 week MA$7.2994% below

OTLK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over OTLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OTLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.8$31.0+188%
2021$31.0$27.6-11%
2022$27.6$21.4-22%
2023$21.4$7.88-63%
2024$7.88$2.01-74%
2025$2.01$1.82-9.5%
2026 YTD$1.82$0.44-76%

OTLK has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 76% so far in 2026.

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