LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over OPK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

OPK

OPKO Health, Inc.

33
Fundamentals17/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

OPK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OPK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

OPK's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OPK PE Valuation

OPK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over OPK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

OPK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OPK's revenue and profitability to decline, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OPK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OPK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$2.23
Downside-26%$1.24

Calculated from the latest close: $1.67 on Nov 12.

OPK trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over OPK on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OPK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.25Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.33Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.07Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $-0.30Q1 2026: $-0.27Q2 2026: $-0.09Q3 2026: $-0.19
Q4 2023: $-0.25Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.33Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.07Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $-0.30Q1 2026: $-0.27Q2 2026: $-0.09Q3 2026: $-0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.19+$0.06
Q2 2026-$0.09+$0.16
Q1 2026-$0.27-$0.20
Q4 2025-$0.30-$0.21
Q3 2025-$0.25-$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.25+$0.08
Q1 2025-$0.07+$0.28
Q4 2024-$0.09+$0.16

OPK is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.19 per share over the past year, against $0.53 at its worst in late 2019.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over OPK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OPK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $182MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $174MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $150MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $148MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $182MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $174MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $150MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $148MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65.4M-57%
Q2 2026$163.6M+4.3%
Q1 2026$124.2M-17%
Q4 2025$148.5M-19%
Q3 2025$151.7M-13%
Q2 2025$156.8M-14%
Q1 2025$150M-14%
Q4 2024$183.6M+1%

OPK's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $65M last quarter, down 57% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over OPK on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OPK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: −$34MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$38MQ2 2025: −$87MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$47MQ3 2026: −$39M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: −$34MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$38MQ2 2025: −$87MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$47MQ3 2026: −$39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$39.1M-$1.3M
Q2 2026-$46.5M+$40.2M
Q1 2026-$21.1M+$16.6M
Q2 2025-$86.7M-$53.1M
Q1 2025-$37.7M+$2.3M
Q2 2024-$33.7M-$27.3M
Q1 2024-$40M-$14.3M
Q4 2023-$41.3M-$3.4M

OPK has burned cash in most quarters: −$135M over the past year, against −$196M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

OPK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 752MQ1 2024: 707MQ2 2024: 697MQ3 2024: 998MQ4 2024: 694MQ1 2025: 672MQ2 2025: 788MQ3 2025: 780MQ4 2025: 751MQ1 2026: 759MQ2 2026: 755MQ3 2026: 746M
Q4 2023: 752MQ1 2024: 707MQ2 2024: 697MQ3 2024: 998MQ4 2024: 694MQ1 2025: 672MQ2 2025: 788MQ3 2025: 780MQ4 2025: 751MQ1 2026: 759MQ2 2026: 755MQ3 2026: 746M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-8.8M shares
1 year-4.3%-33.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-5M shares
5 years+15%+94.6M shares
Available history+25%+151M shares

OPK has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

OPK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -7.2x
Q2 2026: -7.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-7.2xNet Cash
Q4 20210.7xVery low
Q3 2021-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20201.3xHealthy

OPK has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

OPK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.9Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

OPK's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OPK PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOPKSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

OPK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

OPK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.604.4% above
20 week MA$1.5011% above
50 week MA$1.3623% above
100 week MA$1.4019% above
200 week MA$1.4218% above

OPK has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 18% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over OPK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OPK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.50$4.23+182%
2021$4.23$4.77+13%
2022$4.77$1.14-76%
2023$1.14$1.51+32%
2024$1.51$1.48-2%
2025$1.48$1.29-13%
2026 YTD$1.29$1.67+29%

OPK's yearly returns have swung widely, from +182% in 2020 to −76% in 2022. It's up 29% so far in 2026.

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