LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

ONCO

Onconetix, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ONCO yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ONCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

ONCO's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ONCO PE Valuation

ONCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

ONCO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ONCO to show an outlook.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and ONCO's risk to reward.

ONCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $3.03 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and ONCO's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 51% for LLY versus ONCO down 117%.

ONCO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1,672,483.44Q4 2023: $-3,723,000.00Q1 2024: $-4,267,000.00Q2 2024: $-4,998,000.00Q3 2024: $-4,595,525.00Q4 2024: $-2,801,175.00Q1 2025: $-1,973,700.00Q2 2025: $-888,080.00Q3 2025: $-766,680.00
Q3 2023: $-1,672,483.44Q4 2023: $-3,723,000.00Q1 2024: $-4,267,000.00Q2 2024: $-4,998,000.00Q3 2024: $-4,595,525.00Q4 2024: $-2,801,175.00Q1 2025: $-1,973,700.00Q2 2025: $-888,080.00Q3 2025: $-766,680.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2025-$766,680.00+$3,828,845.00
Q2 2025-$888,080.00+$4,109,920.00
Q1 2025-$1,973,700.00+$2,293,300.00
Q4 2024-$2,801,175.00+$921,825.00
Q3 2024-$4,595,525.00-$2,923,041.56
Q2 2024-$4,998,000.00-$3,393,516.56
Q1 2024-$4,267,000.00-$2,407,516.56
Q4 2023-$3,723,000.00-$1,853,000.00

ONCO is still losing money, but far less than before: $766,680.00 per share over the past year, against $4,998,000.00 at its worst in mid-2024.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ONCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONCO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $400,000Q2 2024: $704,848Q3 2024: $406,859Q4 2024: $711,976Q1 2025: $101,630Q2 2025: $106,494Q3 2025: $303,651Q4 2025: $303,596Q1 2026: $21,457Q2 2026: $17,120
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $400,000Q2 2024: $704,848Q3 2024: $406,859Q4 2024: $711,976Q1 2025: $101,630Q2 2025: $106,494Q3 2025: $303,651Q4 2025: $303,596Q1 2026: $21,457Q2 2026: $17,120
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$17.1K-84%
Q1 2026$21.5K-79%
Q4 2025$303.6K-57%
Q3 2025$303.7K-25%
Q2 2025$106.5K-85%
Q1 2025$101.6K-75%

ONCO's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $17,120 last quarter, down 84% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with ONCO at up 49%.

ONCO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$3MQ4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$921,521Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: โˆ’$2M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$3MQ4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$921,521Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: โˆ’$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024-$921.5K+$3.4M
Q3 2024-$1.1M+$1.9M
Q2 2024-$3.2M-$1.4M
Q1 2024-$5.2M-$788.7K
Q4 2023-$4.3M-$1.5M
Q3 2023-$3M-$1.2M
Q2 2023-$1.8M+$1.4M
Q1 2023-$4.4M-$3.6M

ONCO has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$6M over the past year, against โˆ’$16M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over ONCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONCO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 10Q1 2024: 13Q2 2024: 13Q3 2024: 31Q1 2025: 428Q2 2025: 1,135Q3 2025: 2,811Q1 2026: 6,285Q2 2026: 224,277
Q3 2023: 10Q1 2024: 13Q2 2024: 13Q3 2024: 31Q1 2025: 428Q2 2025: 1,135Q3 2025: 2,811Q1 2026: 6,285Q2 2026: 224,277
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3468%+218K shares
1 year+52301%+224K shares
3 years+3203857%+224K shares

ONCO has 224,277 diluted shares, up 52301% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ONCO Net Leverage

ONCO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ONCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.5Oversold
Stochastic17.9Oversold

ONCO's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ONCO PE vs Healthcare Sector

ONCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over ONCO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ONCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.0550% below
20 week MA$7.2658% below
50 week MA$229.499% below
100 week MA$3,385.0100% below
200 week MA$414,179.2100% below

ONCO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 100% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ONCO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ONCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$97,580,000.0$1,751,000.0-98%
2023$1,751,000.0$336,600.0-81%
2024$336,600.0$16,365.1-95%
2025$16,365.1$715.0-96%
2026 YTD$715.0$3.03-100%

ONCO has finished every year since 2022 lower, and it's down 100% so far in 2026.

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