LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over OMCL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

OMCL

Omnicell, Inc.

68
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

OMCL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OMCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

OMCL's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OMCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE268x537x805x1074x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE268x537x805x1074x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$34.95—
Current36x$34.95—
Cheap52x$49.71+42%
Fair79x$75.94+117%
Expensive153x$147+320%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OMCL has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over OMCL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

OMCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OMCL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OMCL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OMCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$47.28
Downside-22%$27.33

Calculated from the latest close: $34.95 on Nov 12.

OMCL trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over OMCL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OMCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.45Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.46Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $0.27Q1 2025: $0.46Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.43Q4 2025: $0.04Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.84Q3 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.92
Q4 2023: $-0.45Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.46Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $0.27Q1 2025: $0.46Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.43Q4 2025: $0.04Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.84Q3 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.92+100%
Q3 2026$0.96+123%
Q2 2026$0.84+68%
Q1 2026$0.44-4.3%
Q4 2025$0.04-85%
Q3 2025$0.43+$0.82
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.96
Q1 2025$0.46+$0.92
Q4 2024$0.27+$0.72

OMCL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.96 over the past year, against $1.72 in late 2021.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over OMCL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OMCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $307MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $291MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $310MQ2 2026: $312MQ3 2026: $308M
Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $307MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $291MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $310MQ2 2026: $312MQ3 2026: $308M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$307.9M-0.9%
Q2 2026$312.2M+7.4%
Q1 2026$309.9M+15%
Q4 2025$314M+2.3%
Q3 2025$310.6M+10%
Q2 2025$290.6M+5%
Q1 2025$269.7M+9.6%
Q4 2024$306.9M+19%

OMCL's revenue is growing: $308M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over OMCL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OMCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.7M+17%
Q2 2026$59.4M+92%
Q1 2026$42.1M+185%
Q4 2025$22.6M-52%
Q3 2025$18.5M+33%
Q2 2025$31M-37%
Q1 2025$14.8M-64%
Q4 2024$47.2M+61%

OMCL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $146M over the past year.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over OMCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OMCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+164K shares
1 year+1.2%+566K shares
3 years+1.9%+871K shares
5 years-3.9%-1.9M shares
Available history+8.2%+3.5M shares

OMCL has 46M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

OMCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -1.0x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

OMCL has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

OMCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic46.9Neutral

OMCL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OMCL PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOMCLSector medianRelative
PE36x26x41% above
PE %02929 pts below

OMCL has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over OMCL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OMCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.72% below
20 week MA$36.95.2% below
50 week MA$39.612% below
100 week MA$36.74.7% below
200 week MA$40.915% below

OMCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over OMCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OMCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$82.5$118.2+43%
2021$118.2$175.7+49%
2022$175.7$48.4-72%
2023$48.4$37.6-22%
2024$37.6$44.1+17%
2025$44.1$46.4+5.3%
2026 YTD$46.4$35.0-25%

OMCL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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