LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over OFIX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

OFIX

Orthofix Medical Inc.

53
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

OFIX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OFIX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

OFIX's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OFIX PE Valuation

OFIX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over OFIX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

OFIX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect OFIX's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OFIX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OFIX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$9.35
Downside-26%$5.15

Calculated from the latest close: $6.94 on Nov 12.

OFIX trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over OFIX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OFIX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.12Q1 2024: $-3.36Q2 2024: $-3.17Q3 2024: $-3.11Q4 2024: $-3.30Q1 2025: $-3.70Q2 2025: $-3.18Q3 2025: $-3.04Q4 2025: $-2.33Q1 2026: $-1.50Q2 2026: $-1.53Q3 2026: $-1.11
Q4 2023: $-4.12Q1 2024: $-3.36Q2 2024: $-3.17Q3 2024: $-3.11Q4 2024: $-3.30Q1 2025: $-3.70Q2 2025: $-3.18Q3 2025: $-3.04Q4 2025: $-2.33Q1 2026: $-1.50Q2 2026: $-1.53Q3 2026: $-1.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.11+$1.93
Q2 2026-$1.53+$1.65
Q1 2026-$1.50+$2.20
Q4 2025-$2.33+$0.97
Q3 2025-$3.04+$0.07
Q2 2025-$3.18-$0.01
Q1 2025-$3.70-$0.34
Q4 2024-$3.30+$0.82

OFIX is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.11 per share over the past year, against $4.12 at its worst in late 2023.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over OFIX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OFIX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $200MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $197MQ4 2024: $216MQ1 2025: $194MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $206MQ4 2025: $220MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $208M
Q4 2023: $200MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $197MQ4 2024: $216MQ1 2025: $194MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $206MQ4 2025: $220MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $208M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$207.9M+1.1%
Q2 2026$210.9M+3.8%
Q1 2026$196.7M+1.6%
Q4 2025$219.9M+2%
Q3 2025$205.6M+4.6%
Q2 2025$203.1M+2.3%
Q1 2025$193.6M+2.7%
Q4 2024$215.7M+7.6%

OFIX's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $208M last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over OFIX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OFIX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$360,000Q3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$19MQ3 2026: −$14M
Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$360,000Q3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$19MQ3 2026: −$14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$14.1M-666%
Q2 2026-$18.9M-517%
Q1 2026-$28.3M-$3.1M
Q4 2025$16.8M+20%
Q3 2025$2.5M-61%
Q2 2025$4.5M+$4.9M
Q1 2025-$25.1M+$4M
Q4 2024$14.1M+$35.3M

OFIX's free cash flow was −$44M over the past year, against −$4M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over OFIX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OFIX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+272K shares
1 year+3.6%+1.4M shares
3 years+108%+21.4M shares

OFIX has 41M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over OFIX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OFIX Net Leverage

Q1 2026: 10.8xQ2 2026: 8.6xQ3 2026: 4.2x
Q1 2026: 10.8xQ2 2026: 8.6xQ3 2026: 4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.2xHigh
Q2 20268.6xHigh
Q1 202610.8xHigh
Q4 2022-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2022-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2022-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2022-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2021-4.1xNet Cash

OFIX's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

OFIX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.9Oversold
Stochastic8.4Oversold

OFIX's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OFIX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOFIXSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

OFIX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over OFIX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OFIX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.8522% below
20 week MA$9.7129% below
50 week MA$11.439% below
100 week MA$13.047% below
200 week MA$14.552% below

OFIX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 52% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over OFIX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OFIX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.0$42.6-7.5%
2021$42.6$31.5-26%
2022$31.5$19.3-39%
2023$19.3$13.5-30%
2024$13.5$17.5+30%
2025$17.5$15.2-13%
2026 YTD$15.2$6.94-54%

OFIX has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 54% so far in 2026.

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