LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

OCS

Oculis Holding AG

There isn't enough reported data to score OCS yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OCS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

OCS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OCS PE Valuation

OCS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

OCS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OCS's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and OCS's risk to reward.

OCS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and OCS's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over OCS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OCS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-3.05Q4 2023: $-3.12Q1 2024: $-1.97Q2 2024: $-2.13Q3 2024: $-2.13Q4 2024: $-2.55Q1 2025: $-2.85Q2 2025: $-2.83Q3 2025: $-2.64Q4 2025: $-2.31Q1 2026: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-1.69
Q3 2023: $-3.05Q4 2023: $-3.12Q1 2024: $-1.97Q2 2024: $-2.13Q3 2024: $-2.13Q4 2024: $-2.55Q1 2025: $-2.85Q2 2025: $-2.83Q3 2025: $-2.64Q4 2025: $-2.31Q1 2026: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-1.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.69+$1.14
Q1 2026-$2.08+$0.77
Q4 2025-$2.31+$0.24
Q3 2025-$2.64-$0.51
Q2 2025-$2.83-$0.70
Q1 2025-$2.85-$0.88
Q4 2024-$2.55+$0.57
Q3 2024-$2.13+$0.92

OCS is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.69 per share over the past year, against $3.12 at its worst in late 2023.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over OCS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OCS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $314,204Q3 2025: $292,535Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $314,204Q3 2025: $292,535Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0

OCS's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over OCS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OCS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$14MQ4 2023: โˆ’$16MQ1 2024: โˆ’$17MQ2 2024: โˆ’$16MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$13MQ1 2025: โˆ’$24MQ2 2025: โˆ’$21MQ3 2025: โˆ’$16MQ4 2025: โˆ’$20MQ1 2026: โˆ’$19MQ2 2026: โˆ’$24M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$14MQ4 2023: โˆ’$16MQ1 2024: โˆ’$17MQ2 2024: โˆ’$16MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$13MQ1 2025: โˆ’$24MQ2 2025: โˆ’$21MQ3 2025: โˆ’$16MQ4 2025: โˆ’$20MQ1 2026: โˆ’$19MQ2 2026: โˆ’$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$24.4M-$3.5M
Q1 2026-$18.7M+$5.4M
Q4 2025-$20.1M-$7.6M
Q3 2025-$16.3M-$3.6M
Q2 2025-$20.9M-$4.6M
Q1 2025-$24.2M-$7.6M
Q4 2024-$12.5M+$3.1M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$1.7M

OCS has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$80M over the past year, against โˆ’$70M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over OCS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OCS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 36MQ4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 61M
Q3 2023: 36MQ4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+2.4M shares
1 year+17%+9M shares
3 years+83%+27.7M shares

OCS has 61M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

OCS Net Leverage

OCS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

OCS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.8Oversold
Stochastic12.7Oversold

OCS's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OCS PE vs Healthcare Sector

OCS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over OCS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OCS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.107.4% below
20 week MA$10.629% below
50 week MA$18.760% below
100 week MA$18.860% below
200 week MA$15.351% below

OCS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over OCS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OCS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.69$9.70+0.1%
2022$9.70$10.1+4%
2023$10.1$11.2+11%
2024$11.2$17.0+51%
2025$17.0$20.5+21%
2026 YTD$20.5$7.50-63%

OCS has finished every year since 2021 higher, and it's down 63% so far in 2026.

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