LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

NXGL

NEXGEL, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score NXGL yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NXGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

NXGL's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NXGL PE Valuation

NXGL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

NXGL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NXGL to show an outlook.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NXGL's risk to reward.

NXGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $3.79 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NXGL's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over NXGL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NXGL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-9.60Q4 2023: $-11.20Q1 2024: $-11.00Q2 2024: $-11.40Q3 2024: $-11.60Q4 2024: $-10.00Q1 2025: $-9.00Q2 2025: $-8.00Q3 2025: $-7.40Q4 2025: $-7.60Q1 2026: $-8.00Q2 2026: $-14.20
Q3 2023: $-9.60Q4 2023: $-11.20Q1 2024: $-11.00Q2 2024: $-11.40Q3 2024: $-11.60Q4 2024: $-10.00Q1 2025: $-9.00Q2 2025: $-8.00Q3 2025: $-7.40Q4 2025: $-7.60Q1 2026: $-8.00Q2 2026: $-14.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$14.20-$6.20
Q1 2026-$8.00+$1.00
Q4 2025-$7.60+$2.40
Q3 2025-$7.40+$4.20
Q2 2025-$8.00+$3.40
Q1 2025-$9.00+$2.00
Q4 2024-$10.00+$1.20
Q3 2024-$11.60-$2.00

NXGL is still losing money, but far less than before: $14.20 per share over the past year, against $43.20 at its worst in late 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

NXGL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4M
Q3 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.7M+28%
Q1 2026$2.7M-5.6%
Q4 2025$2.8M-8.1%
Q3 2025$2.9M-0.2%
Q2 2025$2.9M+100%
Q1 2025$2.8M+122%
Q4 2024$3M+181%
Q3 2024$2.9M+141%

NXGL's revenue has held roughly level: $4M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with NXGL at up 0.1%.

NXGL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$672,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$1MQ2 2024: โˆ’$909,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$928,000Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: โˆ’$793,000Q4 2025: $241,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$513,000Q2 2026: โˆ’$2M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$672,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$1MQ2 2024: โˆ’$909,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$928,000Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: โˆ’$793,000Q4 2025: $241,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$513,000Q2 2026: โˆ’$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$241K+$1.2M
Q3 2025-$793K+$436K
Q4 2024-$928K-$256K
Q3 2024-$1.2M-$148K
Q2 2024-$909K+$473K
Q1 2024-$1.2M-$447K
Q4 2023-$672K-$15K
Q3 2023-$1.1M-$176K

NXGL has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$3M over the past year, against โˆ’$4M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over NXGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NXGL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 285,716Q4 2023: 283,592Q1 2024: 299,103Q2 2024: 312,733Q3 2024: 328,470Q4 2024: 325,579Q1 2025: 382,266Q2 2025: 382,717Q3 2025: 398,565Q4 2025: 392,714Q1 2026: 410,210Q2 2026: 450,663
Q3 2023: 285,716Q4 2023: 283,592Q1 2024: 299,103Q2 2024: 312,733Q3 2024: 328,470Q4 2024: 325,579Q1 2025: 382,266Q2 2025: 382,717Q3 2025: 398,565Q4 2025: 392,714Q1 2026: 410,210Q2 2026: 450,663
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.9%+40.5K shares
1 year+18%+67.9K shares
3 years+62%+172K shares

NXGL has 450,663 diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NXGL Net Leverage

NXGL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

NXGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.8Neutral
Stochastic7.2Oversold

NXGL's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NXGL PE vs Healthcare Sector

NXGL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over NXGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NXGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.066.7% below
20 week MA$6.5342% below
50 week MA$14.774% below
100 week MA$34.789% below
200 week MA$39.990% below

NXGL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over NXGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NXGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$62.4$62.40%
2022$62.4$27.2-56%
2023$27.2$42.6+57%
2024$42.6$94.0+121%
2025$94.0$30.6-67%
2026 YTD$30.6$3.79-88%

NXGL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +121% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2025. It's down 88% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key