LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVST

Envista Holdings Corp

80
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation90/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

NVST has a slight edge over LLY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Strong

NVST's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.4x$24.66—
Forward15x$24.66—
Cheap21x$81.70+231%
Fair28x$108+339%
Expensive95x$368+1394%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVST has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over NVST on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

NVST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NVST, with profitability improving.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY trails NVST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$50.23
Downside-8%$22.75

Calculated from the latest close: $24.66 on Nov 12.

NVST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LLY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over NVST on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.60Q1 2024: $-0.71Q2 2024: $-7.69Q3 2024: $-7.76Q4 2024: $-6.50Q1 2025: $-6.54Q2 2025: $0.31Q3 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.28Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.58Q4 2026: $3.87Forward: $1.62
Q4 2023: $-0.60Q1 2024: $-0.71Q2 2024: $-7.69Q3 2024: $-7.76Q4 2024: $-6.50Q1 2025: $-6.54Q2 2025: $0.31Q3 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.28Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.58Q4 2026: $3.87Forward: $1.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.62-58%
Q3 2026$3.87+4738%
Q2 2026$0.58+87%
Q1 2026$0.41+$6.95
Q4 2025$0.28+$6.78
Q3 2025$0.08+$7.84
Q2 2025$0.31+$8.00
Q1 2025-$6.54-$5.83
Q4 2024-$6.50-$5.90

NVST's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $3.87 over the past year, up from $0.08 the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over NVST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $646MQ1 2024: $624MQ2 2024: $633MQ3 2024: $601MQ4 2024: $653MQ1 2025: $617MQ2 2025: $682MQ3 2025: $670MQ4 2025: $751MQ2 2026: $706MQ3 2026: $731MQ4 2026: $692M
Q4 2023: $646MQ1 2024: $624MQ2 2024: $633MQ3 2024: $601MQ4 2024: $653MQ1 2025: $617MQ2 2025: $682MQ3 2025: $670MQ4 2025: $751MQ2 2026: $706MQ3 2026: $731MQ4 2026: $692M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$691.5M+3.2%
Q2 2026$730.5M+7.1%
Q1 2026$705.5M+14%
Q4 2025$750.6M+15%
Q3 2025$669.9M+11%
Q2 2025$682.1M+7.7%
Q1 2025$616.9M-1.1%
Q4 2024$652.9M+1.1%

NVST's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $692M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over NVST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: $124MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $92MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $104MQ4 2026: $62M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: $124MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $92MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $104MQ4 2026: $62M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$61.8M-9%
Q2 2026$104.3M+37%
Q1 2026-$15.8M-$10.2M
Q4 2025$91.7M-26%
Q3 2025$67.9M+7.3%
Q2 2025$76.4M-11%
Q1 2025-$5.6M-119%
Q4 2024$123.8M+32%

NVST still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $242M over the past year.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

NVST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 170MQ3 2025: 166MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 166MQ3 2026: 164MQ4 2026: 163M
Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 170MQ3 2025: 166MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 166MQ3 2026: 164MQ4 2026: 163M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-700K shares
1 year-1.6%-2.7M shares
3 years-6.7%-11.8M shares
5 years-8.3%-14.7M shares
Available history+20%+27M shares

NVST has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NVST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.8xQ4 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.8xQ4 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 202412.5xHigh
Q4 20238.5xHigh

NVST has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

NVST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic33.0Neutral

NVST's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVST PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVSTSector medianRelative
PE6.4x26x75% below
PE %02929 pts below

NVST has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over NVST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.83.7% above
20 week MA$25.53.4% below
50 week MA$25.22.2% below
100 week MA$22.311% above
200 week MA$24.12.3% above

NVST's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 2.3% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over NVST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.0$32.4+8.1%
2021$32.4$45.7+41%
2022$45.7$33.1-28%
2023$33.1$24.1-27%
2024$24.1$19.2-20%
2025$19.2$22.0+14%
2026 YTD$22.0$24.7+12%

NVST has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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