LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

NRC

National Research Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score NRC yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Weak

NRC's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NRC PE Valuation

NRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

NRC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NRC to show an outlook.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NRC's risk to reward.

NRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $26.64 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NRC's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 51% for LLY versus NRC down 39%.

NRC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.24Q2 2024: $1.21Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.02Q2 2025: $0.75Q3 2025: $0.69
Q4 2023: $1.25Q1 2024: $1.24Q2 2024: $1.21Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.02Q2 2025: $0.75Q3 2025: $0.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2025$0.69-39%
Q2 2025$0.75-38%
Q1 2025$1.02-18%
Q4 2024$1.04-17%
Q3 2024$1.13-2.6%
Q2 2024$1.21+3.4%
Q1 2024$1.24+2.5%
Q4 2023$1.25-1.6%

NRC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.69 over the past year, against $1.47 in late 2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over NRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$38.4M+11%
Q2 2026$35.4M+4%
Q1 2026$34.8M+3.7%
Q4 2025$35.2M-4.6%
Q3 2025$34.6M-3.4%
Q2 2025$34M-2.8%
Q1 2025$33.6M-5%
Q4 2024$36.9M-2.9%

NRC's revenue has held roughly level: $38M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over NRC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$4MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $62,000Q3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$4MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $62,000Q3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7M-31%
Q2 2026$62K+$4.2M
Q1 2026$5.3M+46%
Q4 2025$6.1M+213%
Q3 2025$10.2M+30%
Q2 2025-$4.1M-374%
Q1 2025$3.7M-54%
Q4 2024$1.9M-76%

NRC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $18M over the past year.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

NRC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-122K shares
1 year-1.1%-243K shares
3 years-11%-2.8M shares
5 years-15%-3.8M shares
Available history-13%-3.1M shares

NRC has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over NRC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NRC Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.4xModerate
Q3 20200.1xVery low
Q2 20200.4xVery low
Q1 20200.4xVery low
Q4 20190.3xVery low

NRC's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

NRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.6Overbought
Stochastic87.0Overbought

NRC's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NRC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNRCSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

NRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

NRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.319% above
20 week MA$21.723% above
50 week MA$19.338% above
100 week MA$17.056% above
200 week MA$26.40.9% above

NRC has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 0.9% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

NRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$66.6$44.4-33%
2021$44.4$41.5-6.5%
2022$41.5$37.3-10%
2023$37.3$39.6+6.1%
2024$39.6$17.4-56%
2025$17.4$18.7+7.1%
2026 YTD$18.7$26.6+43%

NRC has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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