LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over NOK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NOK

Nokia Oyj

65
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

NOK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NOK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NOK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NOK PE Valuation

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

NOK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NOK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NOK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NOK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$12.15
Downside-31%$5.71

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

NOK trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over NOK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+67%
Q2 2026$0.14+27%
Q1 2026$0.16+220%
Q4 2025$0.13-13%
Q3 2025$0.09+13%
Q2 2025$0.11+57%
Q1 2025$0.05-69%
Q4 2024$0.15+15%

NOK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.15 over the past year, against $0.85 in early 2023.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over NOK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7B+6.1%
Q2 2026$5.3B+5.9%
Q1 2026$5B+2.4%
Q4 2025$6.8B+2.4%
Q3 2025$5.4B+12%
Q2 2025$5.1B+1.8%
Q1 2025$4.9B-1.2%
Q4 2024$6.6B+4.9%

NOK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.7B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over NOK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$112M-123%
Q2 2026-$832.1M-951%
Q1 2026$698.8M-13%
Q4 2025$252.2M+354%
Q3 2025$476.6M-37%
Q2 2025$97.8M-78%
Q1 2025$801M-25%
Q4 2024$55.5M-97%

NOK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$112M, but it generated $7M over the past year.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over NOK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NOK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-56.5M shares
1 year+4.7%+257M shares
3 years+2.6%+148M shares
5 years+0.9%+54M shares
Available history+2.2%+123M shares

NOK has 5.7B diluted shares, up 4.7% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NOK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NOK has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

NOK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic18.3Oversold

NOK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NOK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNOKSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over NOK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NOK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.149.4% below
20 week MA$9.9217% below
50 week MA$9.6614% below
100 week MA$7.3513% above
200 week MA$5.6746% above

NOK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over NOK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NOK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.63$3.89+7.2%
2021$3.89$6.19+59%
2022$6.19$4.64-25%
2023$4.64$3.42-26%
2024$3.42$4.48+31%
2025$4.48$6.62+48%
2026 YTD$6.62$8.28+25%

NOK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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