LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX has a slight edge over LLY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NFLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NFLX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $62.69 | — |
| Current | 18x | $62.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $94.95 | +51% |
| Fair | 47x | $161 | +157% |
| Expensive | 81x | $281 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NFLX has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
LLY has the edge over NFLX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
NFLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the edge over NFLX on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
NFLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | +3.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.46 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.18 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.39 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.12 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.98 | +65% |
NFLX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.46 over the past year, up 45% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over NFLX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY's operating margin was 34% last quarter, down 6.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NFLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.5B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2B | +16% |
NFLX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $12.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.2 points |
NFLX has the edge over LLY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.
NFLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -13% |
NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
NFLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -66.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -145M shares |
| 3 years | -6.8% | -305M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -354M shares |
| Available history | -7.1% | -323M shares |
NFLX has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $963.7M |
NFLX spent $12.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NFLX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
NFLX has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
NFLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NFLX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 16x | 9.8% above |
| PE % | 4 | 26 | 22 pts below |
NFLX has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NFLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.6 | 5.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.4 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $96.0 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.4 | 16% below |
NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NFLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $51.4 | +56% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $61.4 | +19% |
| 2022 | $61.4 | $29.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $48.7 | +65% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $90.8 | +86% |
| 2025 | $90.8 | $94.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.5 | $62.7 | -34% |
NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.