LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

NBIS

Nebius Group N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score NBIS yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NBIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

NBIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over NBIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBIS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap68x$22.45-83%
Fair114x$37.67-71%
Current390x$129—
Expensive666x$220+71%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBIS's PE is 390x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over NBIS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

NBIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NBIS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NBIS's risk to reward.

NBIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $128.64 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NBIS's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NBIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.33+$2.61
Q4 2024-$2.28-456%
Q4 2023$0.64-36%
Q4 2022$1.00+$1.49
Q4 2021-$0.49-156%
Q4 2020$0.87+89%
Q4 2019$0.46-73%
Q4 2018$1.71+434%

NBIS has returned to profit: it earned $0.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

NBIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2023$9.7B+53%
Q4 2022$6.3B+46%
Q4 2021$4.3B+63%
Q4 2020$2.6B+24%
Q4 2019$2.1B+37%
Q4 2018$1.5B+36%
Q4 2017$1.1B+24%
Q4 2016$917M+27%

NBIS's revenue is growing: $530M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

NBIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$3.7B-$3.1B
Q4 2024-$562.1M-$316.2M
Q4 2023-$245.9M-$138.9M
Q4 2022-$107M+$319.7M
Q4 2021-$426.7M-539%
Q4 2020$97.3M-66%
Q4 2019$287.9M+$289.2M
Q4 2018-$1.3M-101%

NBIS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$4.6B over the past year, against −$43M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

NBIS Total Shares

Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-12%-33.3M shares
1 year-32%-115M shares
3 years-26%-86.9M shares

NBIS has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NBIS Net Leverage

Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20230.7xVery low
Q4 2022-0.7xNet Cash

NBIS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

NBIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

NBIS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over NBIS on valuation relative to its sector.

NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNBISSector medianRelative
PE390x16x2,264% above
PE %622438 pts above

NBIS is trading at 390x earnings, a 2264% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has stronger trend alignment. LLY is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus NBIS above 1 of 4.

NBIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$179.728% below
20 week MA$199.936% below
50 week MA$163.521% below
100 week MA$110.017% above

NBIS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 17% above its 100-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

NBIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$19.6$27.3+40%
2025$27.3$87.6+221%
2026 YTD$87.6$128.6+47%

NBIS has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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