LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

NAMS

NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score NAMS yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NAMS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Strong

NAMS's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NAMS PE Valuation

NAMS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

NAMS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NAMS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NAMS's risk to reward.

NAMS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.97 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NAMS's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over NAMS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NAMS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.98Q1 2024: $-2.57Q2 2024: $-2.55Q3 2024: $-2.17Q4 2024: $-2.56Q1 2025: $-1.84Q2 2025: $-1.58Q3 2025: $-2.01Q4 2025: $-1.72Q1 2026: $-1.78Q2 2026: $-2.15Q3 2026: $-1.68
Q4 2023: $-1.98Q1 2024: $-2.57Q2 2024: $-2.55Q3 2024: $-2.17Q4 2024: $-2.56Q1 2025: $-1.84Q2 2025: $-1.58Q3 2025: $-2.01Q4 2025: $-1.72Q1 2026: $-1.78Q2 2026: $-2.15Q3 2026: $-1.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.68+$0.33
Q2 2026-$2.15-$0.57
Q1 2026-$1.78+$0.06
Q4 2025-$1.72+$0.84
Q3 2025-$2.01+$0.16
Q2 2025-$1.58+$0.97
Q1 2025-$1.84+$0.73
Q4 2024-$2.56-$0.58

NAMS is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.68 per share over the past year, against $3.66 at its worst in late 2023.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

NAMS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $803,000Q1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $348,000Q4 2025: $32,000Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $803,000Q1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $348,000Q4 2025: $32,000Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.2M+5407%
Q2 2026$3.7M-81%
Q1 2026$3M+2.1%
Q4 2025$32K-100%
Q3 2025$348K-99%
Q2 2025$19.1M+740%
Q1 2025$3M+113%
Q4 2024$12.8M+1491%

NAMS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $19M last quarter, up 5407% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over NAMS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

NAMS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$33MQ1 2024: โˆ’$55MQ2 2024: โˆ’$54MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$37MQ1 2025: โˆ’$36MQ2 2025: โˆ’$38MQ3 2025: โˆ’$33MQ4 2025: โˆ’$41MQ1 2026: โˆ’$31MQ2 2026: โˆ’$39MQ3 2026: โˆ’$40M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$33MQ1 2024: โˆ’$55MQ2 2024: โˆ’$54MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$37MQ1 2025: โˆ’$36MQ2 2025: โˆ’$38MQ3 2025: โˆ’$33MQ4 2025: โˆ’$41MQ1 2026: โˆ’$31MQ2 2026: โˆ’$39MQ3 2026: โˆ’$40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$40M-$7.1M
Q2 2026-$39.3M-$1.5M
Q1 2026-$30.6M+$5.8M
Q4 2025-$41M-$3.5M
Q3 2025-$32.8M-$20.2M
Q2 2025-$37.8M+$16.4M
Q1 2025-$36.5M+$18.5M
Q4 2024-$37.5M-$4.4M

NAMS has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$151M over the past year, against โˆ’$145M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over NAMS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NAMS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 118MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 124M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 118MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 124M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+766K shares
1 year+4.3%+5.1M shares
3 years+51%+41.7M shares
5 years+44%+38M shares

NAMS has 124M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NAMS Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2022-55.9xNet Cash
Q2 2022-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2022-16.5xNet Cash

NAMS has more cash than debt.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

NAMS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic10.1Oversold

NAMS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NAMS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNAMSSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

NAMS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over NAMS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NAMS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.73.7% below
20 week MA$25.221% below
50 week MA$30.033% below
100 week MA$27.327% below
200 week MA$21.46.6% below

NAMS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.6% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over NAMS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NAMS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.6$9.74-8.5%
2022$9.74$11.3+16%
2023$11.3$11.2-1.2%
2024$11.2$25.9+132%
2025$25.9$35.3+36%
2026 YTD$35.3$20.0-43%

NAMS is down 43% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in three of the previous five years.

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