LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

NAKA

Nakamoto Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score NAKA yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NAKA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

NAKA's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NAKA PE Valuation

NAKA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over NAKA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

NAKA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NAKA's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NAKA's risk to reward.

NAKA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $5.79 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and NAKA's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over NAKA in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NAKA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-26.80Q1 2025: $-31.20Q2 2025: $-34.80Q3 2025: $-44.80Q4 2025: $-30.26Q1 2026: $-38.66Q2 2026: $-31.31
Q4 2024: $-26.80Q1 2025: $-31.20Q2 2025: $-34.80Q3 2025: $-44.80Q4 2025: $-30.26Q1 2026: $-38.66Q2 2026: $-31.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$31.31+$3.49
Q1 2026-$38.66-$7.46
Q4 2025-$30.26-$3.46

NAKA lost $31.31 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over NAKA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NAKA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $869,268Q4 2023: $759,447Q1 2024: $829,029Q2 2024: $639,057Q3 2024: $647,867Q4 2024: $603,887Q1 2025: $579,655Q2 2025: $408,527Q3 2025: $388,209Q4 2025: $444,924Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $25M
Q3 2023: $869,268Q4 2023: $759,447Q1 2024: $829,029Q2 2024: $639,057Q3 2024: $647,867Q4 2024: $603,887Q1 2025: $579,655Q2 2025: $408,527Q3 2025: $388,209Q4 2025: $444,924Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $25M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$25.5M+6130%
Q1 2026$1.6M+177%
Q4 2025$444.9K-26%
Q3 2025$388.2K-40%
Q2 2025$408.5K-36%
Q1 2025$579.7K-30%
Q4 2024$603.9K-20%
Q3 2024$647.9K-25%

NAKA's revenue is growing: $25M last quarter, up 6130% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with NAKA at down 1,239%.

NAKA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $35,030Q4 2023: −$208,680Q1 2024: −$224,621Q2 2024: −$913,537Q3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$901,532Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$23MQ2 2026: --
Q3 2023: $35,030Q4 2023: −$208,680Q1 2024: −$224,621Q2 2024: −$913,537Q3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$901,532Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$23MQ2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2025-$13.2M-$12.1M
Q4 2024-$901.5K-$692.9K
Q3 2024-$1M-3090%
Q2 2024-$913.5K-$468.9K
Q1 2024-$224.6K-245%
Q4 2023-$208.7K+$220.3K
Q3 2023$35K-48%
Q2 2023-$444.7K-$304.9K

NAKA has burned cash in most quarters: −$38M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over NAKA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NAKA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 115,445Q2 2024: 125,249Q3 2024: 148,615Q4 2024: 134,786Q1 2025: 150,624Q2 2025: 170,440Q3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5M
Q1 2024: 115,445Q2 2024: 125,249Q3 2024: 148,615Q4 2024: 134,786Q1 2025: 150,624Q2 2025: 170,440Q3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-72.3K shares
1 year+3613%+4.9M shares

NAKA has 5M diluted shares, up 3613% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NAKA Net Leverage

NAKA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

NAKA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.2Neutral
Stochastic20.6Neutral

NAKA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NAKA PE vs Healthcare Sector

NAKA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has stronger trend alignment. LLY is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus NAKA above 0 of 4.

NAKA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.5023% below
20 week MA$6.5612% below
50 week MA$9.0536% below
100 week MA$109.295% below

NAKA is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 95% below its 100-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over NAKA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NAKA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$120.8$46.0-62%
2025$46.0$15.3-67%
2026 YTD$15.3$5.79-62%

NAKA has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 62% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key