LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over MYGN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

MYGN

Myriad Genetics, Inc.

49
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential50/ 100

MYGN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MYGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure

MYGN's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MYGN PE Valuation

MYGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over MYGN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

MYGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MYGN's losses to grow, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MYGN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MYGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+98%$11.24
Downside-50%$2.86

Calculated from the latest close: $5.68 on Nov 12.

MYGN trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MYGN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MYGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.18Q1 2024: $-2.80Q2 2024: $-1.79Q3 2024: $-1.28Q4 2024: $-1.41Q1 2025: $-1.12Q2 2025: $-4.28Q3 2025: $-4.33Q4 2025: $-3.95Q1 2026: $-4.31Q2 2026: $-1.20Q3 2026: $-1.37
Q4 2023: $-3.18Q1 2024: $-2.80Q2 2024: $-1.79Q3 2024: $-1.28Q4 2024: $-1.41Q1 2025: $-1.12Q2 2025: $-4.28Q3 2025: $-4.33Q4 2025: $-3.95Q1 2026: $-4.31Q2 2026: $-1.20Q3 2026: $-1.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.37+$2.96
Q2 2026-$1.20+$3.08
Q1 2026-$4.31-$3.19
Q4 2025-$3.95-$2.54
Q3 2025-$4.33-$3.05
Q2 2025-$4.28-$2.49
Q1 2025-$1.12+$1.68
Q4 2024-$1.41+$1.77

MYGN is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.37 per share over the past year, against $4.33 at its worst in late 2025.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over MYGN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MYGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $202MQ2 2024: $212MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $196MQ2 2025: $213MQ3 2025: $206MQ4 2025: $210MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $191MQ3 2026: $203M
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $202MQ2 2024: $212MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $196MQ2 2025: $213MQ3 2025: $206MQ4 2025: $210MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $191MQ3 2026: $203M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$202.7M-1.5%
Q2 2026$190.7M-11%
Q1 2026$200.4M+2.3%
Q4 2025$209.8M-0.4%
Q3 2025$205.7M-3.6%
Q2 2025$213.1M+0.8%
Q1 2025$195.9M-3.1%
Q4 2024$210.6M+7.1%

MYGN's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $203M last quarter, down 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MYGN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MYGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $700,000Q4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $700,000Q4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5M-131%
Q2 2026-$8.3M+$5.3M
Q1 2026-$15.7M+$600K
Q4 2025$10.6M+61%
Q3 2025$21.1M+2914%
Q2 2025-$13.6M-623%
Q1 2025-$16.3M+$2.3M
Q4 2024$6.6M+$61.3M

MYGN has burned cash in most quarters: −$20M over the past year, against −$2M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over MYGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MYGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 90MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 91MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 96M
Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 90MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 91MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 96M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+900K shares
1 year+2.8%+2.6M shares
3 years+17%+13.8M shares
5 years+17%+14.2M shares
Available history+29%+21.3M shares

MYGN has 96M diluted shares, up 2.8% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MYGN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20193.3xElevated

MYGN's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MYGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic80.3Overbought

MYGN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MYGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MYGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over MYGN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MYGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.1011% above
20 week MA$4.5226% above
50 week MA$4.8816% above
100 week MA$6.4812% below
200 week MA$13.859% below

MYGN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 59% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MYGN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MYGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.8$18.4-31%
2021$18.4$27.3+48%
2022$27.3$15.6-43%
2023$15.6$19.1+22%
2024$19.1$13.4-30%
2025$13.4$6.48-52%
2026 YTD$6.48$5.68-12%

MYGN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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