LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over MXCT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MXCT

MaxCyte, Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

MXCT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MXCT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

MXCT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MXCT PE Valuation

MXCT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

MXCT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect MXCT's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MXCT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MXCT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$1.97
Downside-39%$0.72

Calculated from the latest close: $1.19 on Nov 12.

MXCT trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MXCT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MXCT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.34Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.40Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-0.42Q1 2026: $-0.36Q2 2026: $-0.32Q3 2026: $-0.25
Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.34Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.40Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-0.42Q1 2026: $-0.36Q2 2026: $-0.32Q3 2026: $-0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.25+$0.19
Q2 2026-$0.32+$0.11
Q1 2026-$0.36+$0.04
Q4 2025-$0.42-$0.03
Q3 2025-$0.44-$0.10
Q2 2025-$0.43-$0.09
Q1 2025-$0.40-$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.39-$0.02

MXCT is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.25 per share over the past year, against $0.44 at its worst in late 2025.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over MXCT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MXCT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.2M+49%
Q2 2026$7.3M-15%
Q1 2026$9.7M-7.1%
Q4 2025$7.3M-16%
Q3 2025$6.8M-16%
Q2 2025$8.5M-18%
Q1 2025$10.4M-8.4%
Q4 2024$8.7M-45%

MXCT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $10M last quarter, up 49% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MXCT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MXCT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $66,900Q1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $66,900Q1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.6M+$2.2M
Q2 2026-$4.7M+$5.7M
Q1 2026-$8.2M+$6.8M
Q4 2025-$2.9M+$5M
Q3 2025-$7.8M-$3M
Q2 2025-$10.4M-$5.3M
Q1 2025-$15.1M-$3.7M
Q4 2024-$8M-12010%

MXCT has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$21M over the past year, against −$41M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

MXCT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 103MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 105MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 105MQ1 2025: 106MQ2 2025: 106MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 106MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 104M
Q4 2023: 103MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 105MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 105MQ1 2025: 106MQ2 2025: 106MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 106MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 104M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.1%-3.3M shares
1 year-2.9%-3.1M shares
3 years+0.1%+88.2K shares
5 years+22%+18.8M shares
Available history+80%+46.1M shares

MXCT has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MXCT Net Leverage

MXCT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MXCT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic49.8Neutral

MXCT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MXCT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MXCT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over MXCT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MXCT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.254.8% below
20 week MA$1.233.3% below
50 week MA$1.126.2% above
100 week MA$1.8435% below
200 week MA$3.0661% below

MXCT's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 61% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MXCT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MXCT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$17.0$10.8-36%
2022$10.8$5.01-54%
2023$5.01$4.70-6.2%
2024$4.70$4.13-12%
2025$4.13$1.61-61%
2026 YTD$1.61$1.19-26%

MXCT has finished every year since 2021 lower, and it's down 26% so far in 2026.

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