LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over MTD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

MTD

Mettler-Toledo International Inc.

64
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

MTD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MTD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

MTD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MTD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$1,406-19%
Forward34x$1,731—
Fair36x$1,655-4.4%
Current38x$1,731—
Expensive46x$2,122+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTD has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

MTD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MTD, with profitability improving.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MTD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MTD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$2,044.70
Downside-19%$1,397.65

Calculated from the latest close: $1,730.93 on Nov 12.

MTD trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MTD on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MTD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $35.90Q1 2024: $35.67Q2 2024: $36.35Q3 2024: $37.10Q4 2024: $40.48Q1 2025: $40.05Q2 2025: $39.44Q3 2025: $40.05Q4 2025: $42.05Q1 2026: $42.57Q2 2026: $44.36Q3 2026: $46.08Forward: $51.52
Q4 2023: $35.90Q1 2024: $35.67Q2 2024: $36.35Q3 2024: $37.10Q4 2024: $40.48Q1 2025: $40.05Q2 2025: $39.44Q3 2025: $40.05Q4 2025: $42.05Q1 2026: $42.57Q2 2026: $44.36Q3 2026: $46.08Forward: $51.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$51.52+12%
Q3 2026$46.08+15%
Q2 2026$44.36+12%
Q1 2026$42.57+6.3%
Q4 2025$42.05+3.9%
Q3 2025$40.05+8%
Q2 2025$39.44+8.5%
Q1 2025$40.05+12%
Q4 2024$40.48+13%

MTD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $46.08 over the past year, up 15% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over MTD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $935MQ1 2024: $926MQ2 2024: $947MQ3 2024: $955MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $983MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $947MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $935MQ1 2024: $926MQ2 2024: $947MQ3 2024: $955MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $983MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $947MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+6.3%
Q2 2026$1B+4.5%
Q1 2026$947.1M+7.2%
Q4 2025$1.1B+8.1%
Q3 2025$1B+7.9%
Q2 2025$983.2M+3.9%
Q1 2025$883.7M-4.6%
Q4 2024$1B+12%

MTD's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MTD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $249MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $234MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $177MQ2 2025: $212MQ3 2025: $275MQ4 2025: $184MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $283MQ3 2026: $281M
Q4 2023: $249MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $234MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $177MQ2 2025: $212MQ3 2025: $275MQ4 2025: $184MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $283MQ3 2026: $281M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$281.5M+2.4%
Q2 2026$282.6M+33%
Q1 2026$122.4M-31%
Q4 2025$184.1M-18%
Q3 2025$274.9M+18%
Q2 2025$212.5M-9.1%
Q1 2025$177.2M+2.7%
Q4 2024$224.9M-9.7%

MTD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $871M over the past year, down 2.1% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

MTD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-148K shares
1 year-2.7%-552K shares
3 years-8.5%-1.9M shares
5 years-14%-3.4M shares
Available history-19%-4.6M shares

MTD has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over MTD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTD Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

MTD's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MTD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.7Overbought
Stochastic86.2Overbought

MTD's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MTD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMTDSector medianRelative
PE38x26x45% above
PE %582929 pts above

MTD has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

MTD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,621.06.8% above
20 week MA$1,465.018% above
50 week MA$1,359.527% above
100 week MA$1,302.933% above
200 week MA$1,308.632% above

MTD has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 32% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MTD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MTD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$792.8$1,140.2+44%
2021$1,140.2$1,626.2+43%
2022$1,626.2$1,439.1-12%
2023$1,439.1$1,213.0-16%
2024$1,213.0$1,234.2+1.8%
2025$1,234.2$1,420.1+15%
2026 YTD$1,420.1$1,730.9+22%

MTD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 22% so far in 2026.

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