LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over MRVI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

MRVI

Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.

59
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

MRVI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MRVI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

MRVI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MRVI PE Valuation

MRVI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

MRVI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MRVI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MRVI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MRVI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$12.70
Downside-39%$4.67

Calculated from the latest close: $7.68 on Nov 12.

MRVI trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MRVI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MRVI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.90Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.05Q1 2025: $-1.17Q2 2025: $-1.39Q3 2025: $-0.87Q4 2025: $-0.90Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $-0.43
Q4 2023: $-0.90Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.05Q1 2025: $-1.17Q2 2025: $-1.39Q3 2025: $-0.87Q4 2025: $-0.90Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $-0.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.43+$0.44
Q2 2026-$0.52+$0.87
Q1 2026-$0.71+$0.46
Q4 2025-$0.90+$0.15
Q3 2025-$0.87+$0.77
Q2 2025-$1.39-$0.40
Q1 2025-$1.17-$0.18
Q4 2024-$1.05-$0.15

MRVI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.43 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2024.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over MRVI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MRVI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $46M
Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $46M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$45.9M+10%
Q2 2026$51.4M+8.5%
Q1 2026$65.8M+41%
Q4 2025$49.9M-12%
Q3 2025$41.6M-36%
Q2 2025$47.4M-35%
Q1 2025$46.9M-27%
Q4 2024$56.6M-24%

MRVI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $46M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MRVI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MRVI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: −$25MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: −$25MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.5M+$22.6M
Q2 2026$3.6M+$16.8M
Q1 2026$4.2M+$18.9M
Q4 2025-$24.9M-$4.4M
Q3 2025-$18.1M-498%
Q2 2025-$13.1M-267%
Q1 2025-$14.6M-$493K
Q4 2024-$20.5M-$11.5M

MRVI's free cash flow was −$13M over the past year, against −$66M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over MRVI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MRVI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 142MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 144MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 148MQ3 2026: 149M
Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 142MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 144MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 148MQ3 2026: 149M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.1M shares
1 year+3%+4.4M shares
3 years+13%+17.1M shares
5 years+33%+36.8M shares
Available history+54%+52.4M shares

MRVI has 149M diluted shares, up 3% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MRVI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.9x
Q4 2023: -5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2023-5.9xNet Cash
Q3 2023-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2022-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20220.2xVery low

MRVI has more cash than debt.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MRVI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.8Neutral
Stochastic55.9Neutral

MRVI's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MRVI PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMRVISector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

MRVI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

MRVI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.512.3% above
20 week MA$7.098.3% above
50 week MA$5.1150% above
100 week MA$4.0988% above
200 week MA$6.7813% above

MRVI has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 13% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

MRVI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.9$29.7-0.5%
2021$29.7$42.0+41%
2022$42.0$14.0-67%
2023$14.0$6.55-53%
2024$6.55$5.50-16%
2025$5.50$3.27-41%
2026 YTD$3.27$7.68+135%

MRVI has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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